mercredi 31 décembre 2014

Post Your New Year Related Goals!

Titles explains it all, post all your new year related goals! Doesn't have to be related to stocks :xyxthumbs




Daily Report: Euro Reaches Two Year Low on Greece

Euro drops to new two year low against dollar after the pro-austerity prime minister Antonis Samaras failed, in his third attempt, to secure parliamentary support for his candidate Stavros Dimas for president. Samaras said he would call for election on January 25. Meanwhile, the anti-austerity leftwing opposition Syriza is seen as leading and could win that election. Syriza has openly expressed that they'd want to renegotiate with international creditor Troika to wipe out a big part of the debt and cancel some terms. Some analysts noted that Greece could be in a new turmoil and it's only at an early stage.




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Yeh its 2015





Happy New Year to everyone and their family from exness




mardi 30 décembre 2014

List of false breakout stocks

Hey, wondering if any one has a decent list of stocks any time in the past which have had false gap breakouts at all time highs shortly before reversing?



Thanks




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Crown Resorts vs. Echo Entertainment Group

Hi everyone,



I'm wondering if anyone is clued in on the Queens Wharf casino bidding. It seems at this stage that Crown is the frontrunner, but I've seen their video promotions and think that the Echo development proposal looks better. Crown has union backing, however. I'm partial to buying Echo stocks, but wonder what other people think. I've read articles that say that Crown's prospects for 2015 appear to be better, but I just can't shake off this feeling that Echo will win this bid. They are already established in Queensland. Also, anyone know when a decision will be made on this?



Cheers,



Deriv




Tips for 2015

Hi all,



An acquaintance of mine who works in the industry, every year has a little comp with a friend of his. They pick like, 4 or 5 stocks for the year and have a little bet between them.



I just realised that as it's not quite New Year's yet...there's still a chance to have a friendly / for fun, "pick 5 stocks" for 2015 - if anyone is interested?



Doesn't need to be complicated. Similar rules to the monthly comp - nothing under 1c (but doesn't matter if someone else has your stocks).



My only suggestion (and many would probably disagree)...would be something like, "must be from the ASX 300" - simply to keep people from picking completely illiquid companies that could never have been invested in (in real life). Could also have 2 options: (a) ASX300 stock and (b) any stocks and people could participate in either or both - as they see fit.



I don't know if anyone has the desire to manage the portfolios, performance wise (I don't). If so, great. But if not, just come back end of next year and do your own tally.



If enough are interested, we could do a "buy on open on Monday" as the entry price...not technically the first trading day of the year - but close enough. Gives people the weekend to join in.



Just thought I'd see if anyone was interested; it's just a fun thing - nothing more to it than that.




The Importance of Regulated Forex Brokers and How to Avoid the Bad Ones

Looking for the right Forex broker has been a task that many of us have loved and hated. Sometimes we find the right one pretty much straight away but at other times we struggle so much that we simply want to give up. The problem is that there is so many different Forex brokers out there such as ECN, STP, futures, options and so on. The sheer volume of them available for every sector can become the obstacle in actually finding one. Despite all this however, there is only one type of Forex broker that we should all look for – a business partner.

Business partners tend to have each other’s interests at heart and they both agree on the final outcome of the project, whatever it may be. The final outcome is usually related to profit and the same applies here.

This is why you must ensure that your Forex broker is regulated. The reason why is ‘security’. You need to feel safe that your business partner is honest and if they are not, they are being watched over with a careful eye by the regulator. The regulator is your security blanket. They will ensure that nothing is manipulated and that you are given a fair opportunity to make your business and trading work i.e. become profitable.

One factor that you must be careful with is straight through processing, usually referred to as STP. The reason why you have to be careful is because there are two versions of STP and one them can be used to fool you.

The first version does exactly what it says. This is when STP Forex brokers process your order by sending it straight through to the Interbank market. There is nothing for you worry about here as this is the main trading environment for Forex traders where nothing can be manipulated.

The second version is a bit sneakier. Instead of sending your order to the Interbank market, it is processed by dumping your order straight through to their dealing desk. The dealing desk is where customer orders are manipulated automatically or manually by the Forex broker. So, you must ensure you check that your order is being sent to the Interbank market because if it is not; this is not an STP Forex broker. In fact, what happens here is that they try and correlate prices with their own liquidity providers which results in them giving you ‘the best possible price’; which is just a smoke screen for a price where they make a profit.

STP Forex brokers are a great type of company to trust with your investment. However, you must be aware that this industry will produce untruthful companies who will literally say anything to get you through their doors. After a while you may find that they are no longer operating but by that point it will be too late for you to reclaim any of your investment. The truth is you probably won’t succeed because of the fact it was ‘investment’, and everyone knows that this comes with an element of risk. The blame will be placed on you because in the eyes of the law, you made a bad investment.

How to be careful of bad Forex brokers

As we all know, trading in the Forex market is impossible without the aid of Forex brokers. However, as the online Forex broker has risen through the years, a few bad ones have appeared out of nowhere. At first they seem like a legitimate company only to find that at a later date they have been shut down due to ill practices.

Unnecessary paranoia

It is situations like this that have created paranoia in the market where Forex brokers are given a bad name. Even worse, the financial industry has been deemed as one of the most untrustworthy industries since the crash that this is the last thing it needs. The reality is that this paranoia is unnecessary. The reason why is that all industries have unethical companies sprouting out now and then but it is really up to us to decide if we wish to get involved with them or not. Simply put, with a little extra research we should be able to find a suitable company to work with.

Strong business partner

When new traders look for a broker the first thing they tend to look for is the spread cost to see if it is the cheapest option. However, this may not always have to be the case. The best way to look at the process of using a broker is to consider it as a business partnership. In normal circumstances, we would always choose the strongest and the most financially stable business to partner up with because it gives us the best probability of making a return or if anything; stay in the market. The same applies when we are looking for a Forex broker. We want one that is successful and let’s face it – the one that makes money; but in a fair way. This is the exact reason why we got involved in trading in the first place.

Length of service

Believe it or not some Forex brokers do not last a long time. Without mentioning any names, some don’t even last a year. By finding out how long the broker has been afloat and what is their current financial stability, traders should gain confidence in their choice. If the broker is looking shaky then questions need to be raised.

Affiliates

There are many websites that have fair affiliate deals with numerous brokers where they simply get a commission on the number of customers they provide. They do not promote one Forex broker in particular so they leave the choice to the customer. This is fair. However, be wary of companies promoting only one broker. This means that this is only done for financial reasons. This does not mean it is an unfair way of doing business but it simply means that you need to do more research. Even if they are a big company this does not mean that questions should not be raised.

In essence, it may prove to be crucial not to simply look for the cheapest alternative. Cheaper is not necessarily better. Usually, if something is cheap, the quality is no good. The same applies here. It is more beneficial to focus on the quality than the low cost or the size of the company which can usually blind us into a false sense of security.




Mindfulness: It Can Mean All the Difference in Your Trade

Are you allowing the “noise” to distract you when you are about to get in or you are already in a trade? Noise can be the news, the TV, the temperature in your office, your dog Fido that keeps coming into your office, the charts or your spouse asking you a question. Noise is anything that is in that moment secondary to your trading; in other words, something that is taking your mind away from where it should be, i.e., focused only on the things that are most important to your trade. Those things for the most part are your plan, your rules and the price action. One of the ways to remain focused is to use a process of “mindfulness.” It is a process that keeps your purpose firmly on your dashboard and your intentions for the trade in line with your attention.

Mindfulness in your trading, that is, to be in the moment for the moment, fully available, fully present and in the NOW is crucial to doing what it takes to be consistently successful. Some people are focused on the past. They are inundated by the residue of what has already transpired and ruminate on past trades. It is very difficult for them to move on. On the other hand, there are many traders who are constantly thinking about what might happen and are focused intently on the future. They ask what will be for dinner as they are eating the mid-day meal. The only moment that truly matters is the one that you are experiencing now. The past is important, but you can only learn from it after you have experienced it, you can never return. It is important to learn from it, accept the reality and move on. By the same token, if you are so focused on the future to the exclusion of what is taking place you are reducing the percentage of attention that is available to stay on purpose and on task with the current trade. You only have 100% of attention to expend on any situation or trade. If your thoughts are caught up in the past or the future that percentage available for the trade can be significantly compromised. The present moment is not only the only moment in which you can live; it is critical to your ability to focus with laser precision on the demands of the current trade. If you are distracted by what just happened last trade, last week or last month it can also lead to distorted judgement regarding what is in the charts and relevant data.




The Art of Pullback Trading

If you have been involved in the markets for more than a short while, you have probably heard the expression “The Trend is Your Friend.” In fact, it is so common that it almost seems trite. Maybe it is, but that doesn’t mean it’s not true. Simply put, over the years many traders have concluded that it is generally a higher probability strategy to trade with the current flow of money, rather than paddle upstream.

Let’s say, then, that you too decide to swim with the current. Is there a strategy that lets you dive in but decreases the chance of immediately drowning? The answer is a resounding “yes!” Welcome to “The Pullback”

As the name suggests, a pullback is a short term move in the opposite direction of the longer term trend. It can offer an opportunity to join the trend without chasing the stock. But trading pullbacks can be tricky. Let me share with you some hard won insights about entering and exiting this type of trade.

The first one is trying to figure out if a pullback is simply a pullback and not the beginning a trend reversal. You never know for sure, but here are a few clues I look for.

First, I’ll look at the volume pattern. Has there been less volume in the pullback than in the previous up-leg? If not, the sellers might be gaining power and I’ll generally pass.

Next, I’ll double check to make sure that earnings or other anticipated significant announcements are not coming out over the next week or so. I don’t want to take the risk of the stock gapping down right after I enter.

Then finally, and perhaps most importantly I’ll take a look at the last trading day. Has the stock pulled back to a price that buyers might find attractive? This could be a previous low, an uptrend line or a supporting moving average. And now consider this: what does a retracing stock have to do if it is going to back up? Doesn’t it have to trade above the high of the previous day? Sure, it could trade through that high and then reverse, but if it is going to back up then it has to trade through that previous high. Waiting for that simple confirmatory signal has saved me more times than I can count.

Now let’s discuss actually entering the trade. Naturally, I want to enter as soon as yesterday’s high is exceeded. But since I can’t always look at the market constantly during the day, I’ll place an automatic entry order the night before. I generally use what’s called a stop limit order. Let me explain why. Let’s assume the previous high was 37.50 and I want to buy if the stock pushes above 37.60. I can’t use a limit order to buy at 37.60 because I could get filled at 37.60 or lower, and that is not what I want. I only want to enter if the stock is breaking up through 37.60. I could use a buy stop at 37.60, but since regular stop orders turn into market orders when triggered, what happens if the stock gaps up to 42 on the open due to overnight news? With a stop order I would buy at 42. Again this is not want I want. So instead I’ll use a stop limit.




Risk Management includes wise Money Management principles

To be successful at forex trading, we are told from the beginning that one must approach the market in a disciplined manner. This oft-repeated mantra has meant that you must develop a step-by-step plan for both entries and exits in the market, practice that plan on a demo system to render it to habit, and to tilt the odds in your favor by using technical indicators, recognizing patterns, and noting key levels of support and resistance. This rather hefty mouthful of guidance is not the end of it either. Veteran traders, the successful ones that make real money at this craft, are also ever vigilant at managing risk through the use time-honored money management principles.



Once again we have a step-by-step approach that will bring discipline to the way you trade and produce benchmarks for measuring your success. You do not have to be a scientist or have a PhD in Physics to apply these simple rules. We advise you to keep it simple and to follow the following four steps: 1) Risk/Reward Assessment, 2) Position Sizing Rules, 3) Stop-Loss Placement, and 4) Take-Profit Placement.



Risk/Reward Assessment

The objective here is to pick your targets for both potential loss and profit before you ever execute an order. The average trader will spot what he believes is a good trend or reversal forming and jump into the fray. The wiser course of action would have been, in the case of a rising trend, to observe initially where the first resistance level might come into play. If it was 125 pips out, then you might set a targeted profit of 120 pips.

The next question you have to ask yourself is how much are you willing to lose on this trade. The rule of thumb for experienced traders is generally a ratio of 2:1 or 3:1, which means they expect their reward to be at least 2X or 3X times their potential loss. In this hypothetical trade, the allowable loss for a 3:1 ratio would be 40 pips, or one-third of the targeted gain. This 40-pip figure will then be used in the next two steps.

Is there another way to set targets? Depending on your preferred time period, some traders use the “Average True Range” (“ATR”) indicator for this purpose. Set the ATR for 20 periods. On a “Daily” chart for the “EUR/USD”, the ATR may read 120 pips for a 20-period average. Your profit target becomes 120 pips, and your loss limit is 33% or 40.

Position Sizing Rules



Retail forex trading is all about measured speculation. It is not about gambling, although many newcomers regard it as such. In a casino, gamblers often employ what is known as the Martingale strategy. If the House odds are near 50/50, then after any loss, you double your position size and keep doing so, until you win your money back. Of course, you do need unlimited capital, and casinos are not dumb – they have placed size limits on bets to discourage this type of approach.

In the world of forex trading, losing streaks can happen, and Martingale will not save you. Long losing streaks have even happened to veterans, but they know from experience when to step away from the table or how to protect their downsides so that they can come back to win another day. The first step in their process is to control their position sizes according to a strict mathematical constraint, euphemistically referred to as the “2%/6%” position sizing rule.



For example purposes, let’s assume that you have $5,000 in your account and that you frequently use the 50:1 leverage available from your broker. The “2%” when applied to your account balance is equal to $100. This figure is the loss limit that you should set for this trade. Divide that by 40 pips (0.004) to get $25,000, and divide that by 50, your leverage, to arrive at $500, your optimal position size wager. Your broker may require you to enter a lot size on your execution order, so you may have to perform one more calculation, i.e., the $25,000 amount is equal to a 25% lot size.

What about the “6%” part of the sizing constraint? The rule here has to do with how many open positions you have at any one time in the market. If your position sizes follow the 2% rule above, then the guidance is that you should never have more than three, or 6% of you capital, of ongoing trades in the market.



Stop-Loss Placement

Veteran traders also swear by stop-loss orders, the other step for protecting their downside risk. In our example, the 40-pip figure becomes the stop-loss level that should be set when your order is executed. Many traders avoid this step to prevent the broker from “stop-loss shopping” during ranging periods, but one bad experience will cure you of this high-risk practice. Also remember that stop-loss orders may not be guaranteed during high volatility. Check your broker agreement for disclaimers.



Take-Profit Placement

Another adage in trading is that paper profits are nice, but you do not really have profits until the money is in your account. There is a psychological benefit to seeing the money tucked safely away in the bank. Traders will often take down 50% of their gain when or before their target is reached, and, at the same time, move their stop-loss order accordingly. A trailing stop-loss order is a bit more complicated, but it achieves the same objective in real time.



Concluding Remarks

Money Management principles may seem overly complex, but once practiced, they will become routine and almost second nature to you. Add them to your repertoire, and you will become a successful trader.




What now for Greece as new elections beckon?

With Greece going to the polls January 25th, what might happen in the election process?

Like the elections in 2012 it looks like there won’t be a party with an overall majority. If that is the case the leading party will be given 3 days to secure a coalition government. If they fail to do that then the 2nd placed party is handed the baton to try and form a coalition. If there is no outcome from that then the third placed party have a go. If they fail to cobble together a coalition then they all meet the president who will try to broker a deal. If that doesn’t work then a new election is called and will be held within a month.

Greece’s Ekathirmerini news had the full election process from 2012 here

While all that is happening Greece has a €500m payment due to the IMF and Fitch is already out saying that the snap elections are a credit risk. So far the Syriza party, who are ahead in the polls currently, have softened their tone over an exit from the eurozone but have maintained that they want to renegotiate the terms with the Troika, and that’s where the market unease is mainly coming from. If it looks like Syriza will win then it could put any bailout payments/repayments at risk if Syriza put the block on them while they try to renegotiate a deal.

If it’s anything like 2012 (and it looks like it’s going to be) then this is going to be an event that could drag on for over a month. One thing that we do know with pre-election polls is that while they may indicate that Syriza is leading it’s a whole different ball game when people have to do it for real. Either way, it’s going to be a rough ride for Greece and potentially for markets and the euro, especially with the ECB meeting coming 3 days before the election.

Greek bonds have shown their reaction to the election news with 10’s rising to 9.84% yesterday and holding at 9.59% today. Nearly 10% return for a eurozone, ECB backed country has got to be great deal hasn’t it?




Daily Report: Euro Reaches Two Year Low on Greece

Euro drops to new two year low against dollar after the pro-austerity prime minister Antonis Samaras failed, in his third attempt, to secure parliamentary support for his candidate Stavros Dimas for president. Samaras said he would call for election on January 25. Meanwhile, the anti-austerity leftwing opposition Syriza is seen as leading and could win that election. Syriza has openly expressed that they'd want to renegotiate with international creditor Troika to wipe out a big part of the debt and cancel some terms. Some analysts noted that Greece could be in a new turmoil and it's only at an early stage.




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EUR/USD: Eurozone member Greece faces Presidential elections

As trading volumes are expected to remain light this week the single currency hovers close to two-year lows against the greenback. Political instability in Greece comes to front news again as today Greece faces a vote in parliament later today that will decide whether its leading coalition can get enough votes to elect a president. The Euro could take off of its lows providing ruling coalition’s candidate Stavros Dimas receives 180 votes in parliament to become president as then Greece can continue negotiations with its creditors.



Technically speaking, the last several trading days showed that market participants are happy to sell EURUSD on pullbacks. The momentum of the strong dollar is likely to continue in the last days of the year. As the pair is traded (1.2190) near the resistance at 1.2220, a break could see the pair heading towards 1.24 (H4SMA200). The same resistance can attract sellers and lead the pair falling to 1.2050 to test 2012’s low.




lundi 29 décembre 2014

Do the Saudis still matter?

According to an article Saudi Arabia does not really care if the price of oil drops to $20 per barrel. Does this still matter? A lot of Saudi production is useless to the developed world and other countries play a much more significant role.



I think OPEC in general has lost its dominance it once enjoyed over the oil market. Seems as there is little behind the Saudi statement. Oil at $20 would to me suggest a global recession or worse.




ECB Stimulus in Q1?

There is plenty of noise about what the ECB will do and when they may or may not announce a wider stimulus. I think the ECB will decide against a stimulus especially if economic data will continue to point towards a rebound as it has this month.



The weaker Euro may be all the stimulus the ECB will give the markets and I think that it is the right decision. Traders have grown so accustomed to a central bank printing money hoping for a positive outcome which is a red flag.




Who will raise interest rates first?

I think there will be a lot more attention on interest rate increase in 2015 as we may start to take the slow steps back to a more normalized state of central banks.



I doubt we will get there this decade, but we will see. I think the RBNZ will raise interest rates first in 2015 after they announced that rates will go up. We may get a 25 basis point increase in the first-quarter.




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EUR/USD: Eurozone member Greece faces Presidential elections

As trading volumes are expected to remain light this week the single currency hovers close to two-year lows against the greenback. Political instability in Greece comes to front news again as today Greece faces a vote in parliament later today that will decide whether its leading coalition can get enough votes to elect a president. The Euro could take off of its lows providing ruling coalition’s candidate Stavros Dimas receives 180 votes in parliament to become president as then Greece can continue negotiations with its creditors.



Technically speaking, the last several trading days showed that market participants are happy to sell EURUSD on pullbacks. The momentum of the strong dollar is likely to continue in the last days of the year. As the pair is traded (1.2190) near the resistance at 1.2220, a break could see the pair heading towards 1.24 (H4SMA200). The same resistance can attract sellers and lead the pair falling to 1.2050 to test 2012’s low.




Registry Paperwork

Stupid question (there are no stupid questions).



I've been trading a massive amount lately, and the paperwork arriving from the registers (computershare, Link) is huge.

I had a look at the websites to see if I can opt to auto fill my details on transactions (ie, abn, bank details, etc). Cant find the option.



I don't mind too much, but the costs involved to the registers in their admin and postage must be a huge burden, especially to accommodate short term traders.



Is this just the way it is?




Interested in Options Trading: Where to begin?

Hey guys,



Just curious if anyone could point me in the right direction for learning options trading? Essential books etc....

Also how much did you guys start trading on?



Would $5000 be enough to start with?




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dimanche 28 décembre 2014

Another Asian plane goes missing

This is getting very very suss

Mega height then gone.

I'm convinced these are not accidents or un organised

Someone knows something and it's not us!



Airports of low security or very late flights out

Pilots with 1000s hrs experience



These planes will in my opinion pop up sonewhere in the future



Not good.




samedi 27 décembre 2014

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Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (December 29, 2014 – January 2, 2015)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:



EURUSD

Dominant bias: Bearish

EURUSD trended downwards last week, closing below the resistance line at 1.2200. Since the recent bullish attempt was rejected at the resistance line of 1.2550, price has dived by over 360 pips, resulting in a very strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. The bearish bias may continue till the end of this year, enabling price to test the support lines at 1.2150 and 1.2100 respectively.



USDCHF

Dominant bias: Bullish

This pair has continues its upward journey in a slow and gradual manner (thanks to the ongoing strength in Greenback). Since the recent bearish pull was rejected around the support level at 0.9550, price has skyrocketed by more than 320 pips, closing above the support level at 0.9850 last week. The next victim of the bulls’ assault is the resistance level at 0.9900, which could even be breached to the upside as price can target another resistance level at 0.9950, especially with the continuation of the strength of the USD. Could the USD ultimately reach parity with the CHF? This seems likely.



GBPUSD

Dominant bias: Bearish

This is also a bear market. It fell towards the accumulation territory at 1.5500 before the current upward bounce happened in the market. Price is currently hovering around the distribution territory at 1.5550, not being able to go far above it at the present. Price may go south from here, testing the accumulation territory at 1.5500 again. Technically, further upward bounce may be rejected at the distribution territory of 1.5600.



USDJPY

Dominant bias: Bullish

This is a strong currency trading instrument, supported by the Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market. Price trended upwards last week and consolidated till the end of the week. Being above the demand level at 120.00, further northward movement is expected here – which can continue into January 2015.



EURJPY

Dominant bias: Bearish

This cross ought to be bullish just like some other JPY pairs, but the weakness in Euro is still very much. In spite of the effort by the bulls, the bears still flex their muscles conspicuously. Price is currently threatening to go down, with the possibility of testing the demand zone at 146.00. Should the bears lose out suddenly, price can try the supply zone at 148.00.



This forecast is concluded with the quote below:





“One thing that never changed was my need for inner freedom. I believe to this day that trading is the most interesting vehicle to enjoy ultimate freedom. I am not only talking about financial freedom. That’s a mere bagatelle in comparison to the emotional freedom I received as a present along the trading way.” - Mercedes Oestermann van Essen




vendredi 26 décembre 2014

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jeudi 25 décembre 2014

AER - Aeeris Limited

Aeeris Limited, the owner of The Early Warning Network, is a company providing an early warning multi-channel communication service focused on the protection of life, assets and business operations by providing early warning alerts for all natural and manmade hazards.



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Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

Hi,

Are there any online brokerage websites that have return on invested capital (ROIC) pre-calculated so one doesn't have to sift through financial statements? :)

Thanks for any tips.




mercredi 24 décembre 2014

Prosperous New Year!

I wish all youse people the best every day, ...

So I won't wish youse all a very merry ... etc, humbug!!



It's not against my religion, however, to wish you a Prosperous New Year!



Cheers Joe :D




HotForex January 2015 Web Events


HotForex January 2015 Web Events



Dear Client,



HotForex is starting the new trading year with an exciting schedule of FREE trading webinars! Availability is limited* so register now to reserve your place.








January 2015 HotForex Webinar Schedule



6 January 12:30 GMT: Multi Time Frame Analysis and Setting Stops



7 January 12:30 GMT: Advanced Bollinger Based FX Trading



3 January 12:30 GMT: Exit Strategies



14 January 12:30 GMT: Money Management in FX



20 January 12:30 GMT: Position Management



21 January 12:30 GMT: Trading the News Effectively in FX



27 January 12:30 GMT: Live Analysis with Janne Muta



28 January 12:30 GMT: Short Term Scalping Strategies in FX



If you have any questions, comments or feedback, please do not hesitate to contact our dedicated Customer Support Team via myHotForex, live chat, or by email webinars@hotforex.com.



Best Regards,



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*Please Note: Places are limited and we cannot guarantee availability. On the day of the Webinar, make sure to dial in or login on time using the instructions in the confirmation email you receive following registration. When the maximum number of attendees is reached, no further registrants will be able to join.




2015 axis of housing happiness… (Video)

Shari Olefson, Carnegie Group founder, and Fred Glick, Arriva and US Spaces CEO, share their outlook for housing in 2015. Olefson expects it to be a great year for the industry. Video link to the topic (detalis) >>> http://ift.tt/1sXUXfN




Developing a Plan in Fore should be a Priority

Having a good forex trading plan is one of the most important thing to do for any forex trader to have consistent profit in the market. But some would say it is easier said than done, because creating a suitable plan can prove difficult sometimes.

But no matter how we see it, a trading plan can help determine if we trade emotionally or objectively. Thereby acting as a guide which help you to be disciplined while trading. This can also determine where and why things are going wrong and brings you in check.

In all, draw out a plan; what you want in the market, what you need to succeed, how to make that happen and where you need to be flexible.




mardi 23 décembre 2014

Banking on an Australian recession

Joe, i hope I am not duplicating an existing thread.



I am gettiung convinced Australia will soon technically be in a recession.

How do you bank on this?

A recession does NOT mean the asx will go down, so how do you profit from such an event if it occurs;

what should I buy/sell?

Interested in the opinion of the most experienced;

If recession I expect interest rates to go down, AUD to follow, but what else?

unemployment rising would counter any positive impact of lower rates for Real Estate..

If anyone has some good advice on this subject




Risk/reward

nnnn.jpg

SGDJPY

16:37


Attached Images






How relevant is US based investment advice for an Australian?

Hey guys, new investor here!



I'm a 25 yo. recent PhD graduate who recently inherited a large sum of money (+$250 000 Aus). The first thing I bough was a book called "A random walk on Wall street" which many sources on the internet recommended, and so far I've found very helpful. However, a lot of the advice is fairly US centric, so I'm just curious how applicable the advice is for an Australian?



Are there any negatives for investing in the US market over the ASX? Budding economies such as China, India and Brazil still acceptable (though risky) investments? Are REITs all the author cracks them up to be? Any other Aus based advice? I'll admit that finance/taxes has never been my strongest suit, so I'm aiming for a "set and forget" style of approach with periodic rebalancing and reinvestment, and little to no day trading. No dependents so I'm comfortable with reasonable risk levels.



Sorry for the long post, I know these questions must be dime-a-dozen, but knowing what is relevant can be challenging (and especially since I'm dealing with a reasonable amount of money, a small mistake may end up having a sizable impact).



Looking forward to getting involved in the community!




% of shares held by institutions

Hey fellas, just abit confused regarding shares held by institutions. For example a stock has 62 M shares outstanding, 10% held by insiders and 101.6% held by institutions. How can you own a 101%?




Australia's flattening yield curve

Anyone else noticed this over the past few months?



Huge buying int he back end of all major economic curves in recent months but Australia is getting to the point now where we are verging on inversion.



Does the mantra of an inverted yield curve = recession still stand or is this a new age?



Interesting that the inversion is happening not because of hikes being priced into the front but rather just investors falling over themselves to buy the back - surely this can't bode well? In fact they are pricing in 1-2 more cuts in the near future as per http://ift.tt/1wgTsjn



Always interested to hear the thoughts of the guys smarter than me on this.



Aussie yoeld curve.png



As the duck says - click to enlarge.


Attached Images






Developing a Plan in Fore should be a Priority

Having a good forex trading plan is one of the most important thing to do for any forex trader to have consistent profit in the market. But some would say it is easier said than done, because creating a suitable plan can prove difficult sometimes.

But no matter how we see it, a trading plan can help determine if we trade emotionally or objectively. Thereby acting as a guide which help you to be disciplined while trading. This can also determine where and why things are going wrong and brings you in check.

In all, draw out a plan; what you want in the market, what you need to succeed, how to make that happen and where you need to be flexible.




Debt/Equity Levels

Hi guys,



Just trying to learn how a company has low debt?



Is the debt/equity a good indicator? Just trying to work out the best way to know much debt they have compared to their assets/revenue.



Thanks in advance for any advise.




lundi 22 décembre 2014

USDJPY Cerca a los 120.45

El par sigue alcista hacia los 120.45




CLM Forex, Go Markets, IC Markets and DirectFX?

These are all Australian brokers. Has anyone used them? Any feedback would be much appreciated. Thanks.




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Market News by ForexBrokerInc- Is current low THE low?

As greenback remains close to a five-year peak versus a basket of currencies on expectations for a US rate hike next year, will market participants take euro’s negative sentiment into 2015?



The single currency enjoyed some 50+ bounce from its year low of 1.2220 early in the European session. Despite the overall bearish trend remaining firm in place, it’s certainly worth mentioning and looking into a few key technical indicators that some may consider as current low to be THE low.



The well-known and respected 200 SMA, this time on Monthly chart, provided a vital support for EURUSD in the middle of 2010 and again in 2012 giving euro the driving seat for the next 22 months of trading. The same Monthly 200 SMA at 1.2220 was tested last Friday, December 19.



Triple Divergence – since early October, the Daily chart with MACD is forming a triple divergence, a very rare occurrence. Thus, 1.2220 can be considered as make or break point for EURUSD.



As despite it being a Christmas celebration week, and expected low volume, the economic calendar is filled with important news mainly concerning the US Dollar that should add liquidity to the market.



Tuesday: Annualized GDP (Q3), Durable Goods Orders (Nov), New Home Sales (Nov), Personal Spending (Nov)



Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, Initial Jobless Claims and Continuing Jobless Claims.




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dimanche 21 décembre 2014

GSS - Genetic Signatures

Genetic Signatures is a specialist molecular diagnostics (MDx) company focused on the development and commercialisation of its proprietary platform technology, 3Base™.



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British Pound - Signs of strength?

I am looking at the British Pound and think we are seeing signs of strength in this currency. I especially likes the retail sales report and while we see mixed data I think we will see a stronger British Pound in 2014 against all currencies.




Trading Review

At the end of each year as trading volume drops due to the absence of many traders I like to take two weeks and review my trades for the year. I try to improve my entry levels and seek out other areas of improvements for my strategy. I have found that this helps me to a better trading year the next year. Does anyone else conduct an annual trading review?




Christmas trading

The next three weeks will see a lot less volume with Christmas this week, New Years next week and the first week of trading of a new year always slow. Are you planning on trading in this low volume environment or will you follow the pros and take some much needed rest from trading?




samedi 20 décembre 2014

Can I buy a computer for my SMSF?

Hi Everyone,



I run my own SMSF and have multiple PC's for home and work(kids) but want a unique setup for our fund. Has anyone done this before? I know software and training courses are an acceptable expense, but a pc seems grey unless you can prove a 100% use for the fund.



What other things have you guys claimed within super that wouldn't be considered the norm?




Volatility Channel Stop and Fiji BB Alert - VertexFX VTL Script

Hello,



I have converted the Volatility Channel Stop indicator from MQL to VertexFX VTL. Hope this is useful to VertexFX platform users. Volatility Channel Stop is a stop and reverse type indicator. It draws a stop and reverse line, when the line is blue, market is in a up trend and the line is red, market is in a down trend. The red circle marks the trend reversal point for down trend and blue circle is the point at which trend reversed upward.



More...







Attached Files





File Type: zip Volty-channel-stop-indicator.zip (4.0 KB)






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January Stock Tipping Competition Entry Thread!

Good afternoon everyone, and welcome to the January 2015 stock tipping competition entry thread! :)



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A quick recap of the rules for those not familiar with them:



1. You MUST have a minimum of 10 posts to enter.



2. Each entrant may choose one ASX listed stock. Options, warrants and deferred settlement shares are not permitted.



3. Stocks with a price of less than $0.01 are ineligible for the competition, as are stocks that are currently suspended from trading.



4. The winner is the entrant whose selected stock performs the best in percentage terms between January 1 and January 31.



5. The maximum number of entrants in the competition is 100.




The competition winner will receive $100. The second placegetter will win $50 and the third placegetter $25.



You have until midnight on Wednesday, December 31 to enter. However, in practice, entries can be submitted until this thread is closed. No entries submitted after that can be accepted for any reason.



Those who qualify, please post your entries in this thread. Remember, once you have selected your stock, you CANNOT change it for any reason. Also, you must be qualified when you enter.



Each month we usually have some members who do not qualify for the competition but enter anyway. If someone who has selected a stock hasn't yet qualified for the competition, their stock is officially up for grabs! Just mention it when you post your entry.



Best of luck to all entrants! :D




Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (December 22 - 26, 2014)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:



EURUSD

Dominant bias: Bearish

This pair tested the resistance line at 1.2550 before further upward movement was rejected. From that resistance line, price went down by over 300 pips, closing below the resistance line at 1.2250. This has resulted in a strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market and price is supposed to continued going further downwards this week, possibly reaching the support lines at 1.2200 and 1.2150 respectively.



USDCHF

Dominant bias: Bullish

USDCHF broke below the support level at 0.9600; but it was unable to stay below that support level. Price moved upwards significantly, moving far above the support level at 0.9800. This has resulted in a strong Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market and price is supposed to continued going further upwards this week, probably challenging the resistance levels at 0.9850 and 0.9900 successively.



GBPUSD

Dominant bias: Bearish

This is a very volatile market, caused by the ongoing struggle between the bears and the bulls. Looking at the market more closely, it would be seen that the bears are winning the battle gradually and they can maintain their subtle supremacy within the next several trading days. The accumulation territory at 1.5550 is a formidable barrier to the interests of the bears. However, with a continuation of the strength in Greenback, that accumulation territory could be breached to the downside.



USDJPY

Dominant bias: Bullish

This currency trading instrument dipped seriously at the beginning of last week, going below the demand level at 116.00. After that, the bulls came in with fury and drove price northwards, making it to go above the demand level at 119.00. The supply level at 119.50 is currently being battered and there is a high chance that it would be breached to the upside, for price might target another supply level at 120.50 this week or next week.



EURJPY

Dominant bias: Bearish

This cross should normally go upwards; nevertheless, the weakness in EUR is too much to allow any significant bullish movement. In spite of desperate effort by the bulls, the outlook remains bearish. The demand zone at 145.00 has a high chance of being challenged, even if there would be a rally after that.



This forecast is concluded with the quote below:





“How do you make money in the market? It’s not by predicting. Instead, it’s by watching what the market is doing and then going with the flow.” – Dr. Van K. Tharp




BMA индикатор для платформы MetaTrader

Добрый всем день!

Может ли автор индикатора добавить возможность

сдвига влево и вправо?

Заранее благодарен




vendredi 19 décembre 2014

Why is IG Markets AUD/NZD spread 19.2?

Woke up today to see my AUD/NZD IG Markets spread at 19.2. Is this normal Screen shot 2014-12-20 at 12.01.03 PM.png





CGT from company/hedge fund in Australia

Hello,



I plan to move to Australia in 2015. I have a few questions:

-> As a AU resident can i open company in New Zealand and invest money from there in world stock exchange (including ASX) without paying CGT and dividend tax (dividend from company which I invest in)?

-> If i want to start the investment company in Australia - should I pay 30% tax from all capital gain ? Is there any way to reduce the tax?

-> If my dad (not-resident) open a company in AU and hire me as a CEO, the company will need to pay CGT from abroad investment ?

-> What are the positive sites of starting a hedge fund in Australia? Can i reduce tax in this way ?

-> Is there a lot of hedge funds in Australia ?

-> If i invest as a individual investor in foreign market (like USA or Poland) and i hold it for more then 12 months, do i have 50% discount of CGT ?



Thanks





Best Regards,

satriani




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Crony capitalism in WA

Somehow I don't think we'll be hearing much more talk about secession from WA anymore:



The State Government will make temporary assistance available to junior iron ore miners on a case by case basis as they restructure operations in challenging market conditions.



Premier and State Development Minister Colin Barnett and Mines and Petroleum Minister Bill Marmion said the assistance would be in the form of a 50 per cent rebate on eligible haematite iron ore royalties for up to 12 months, subject to the iron ore price remaining below an average of $A90 per tonne over the period.



http://www.mediastatements.wa.gov.au...tt&StatId=8947




jeudi 18 décembre 2014

My Journey To Financial Independence

Firstly, I hope you guys dont mind me sharing my investment journey with you. I saw some others doing it and I thought its a nice way to share personal experience and also welcome other opinions and cautions.



Personal Details



Age: 27

Status: Married, with 1 3yo.

Salary: Personal Income $40K - Disability Sector (not including my wifes income combined income of 90K approx).

Assets in rank of liquidity:



- Cash: $530000

- Shares: $17000

- Emergency Fund: $100 (just started one)

- Car: $12000

- Savings per month: $2000 (split $1000 cash / $1000 Shares)



Debt



- Car Loan $5332 (approx)





Current Strategy



I have been involved in the stock market since I was 18 years old. I made some terrible choices and put alot of money into small caps with the view of holding long term. At the time it was $10,000 but my income was obviously really small AND it was on debt.



Stocks I failed On



I failed on SBM, CFU, OEL and AYN (No longer listed). I have not technically 'failed' on CFU and a couple others since I have not technically sold them yet but they have lost about 97% of their value since interception lol.



I have since been taking investing more seriously by reading "Investing for Dummies, The Intelligent Investor, etc". I realise I wont become independent by just working 9-5 given my income therefore I wanted to change my whole strategy since the hits as a young bloke and decided I would stick with bluechips/growth stocks particularly with the tech sector. And, perhaps only allocate 10% to small caps, because lets face it they fail more than suceed (at least in my experience).



Goals




  1. Build a strong portfolio in strong companies over a 10 year outlook.

  2. Buy on dips, particularly when major events happen such as the GFC.

  3. Continue to educate myself and learn from more experienced investors.

  4. Become a financially strong family so my son can enjoy the things I was not able to afford when I was young such as overseas travel,school camps etc.








Asset Allocation:



75% Cash

25% Shares

- AU - $8,530.04

- US - $6,513.98

- Cash in account: $962 approx.



Current Portfolio



-/+ in %



AYN: -99.10%

BHP: +4.58%

CFU: -89.71%

EGO: -80.65%

ETPMAG: +3.84%

FLT: +5.40%

RIO: +7.38%

STO: +13.18%

FEYE: -8.12%

NEON: +18.40%

ORB: -1.77%



I decided I would purchase in $2000 blocks which therefore means I will purchase montly, however I really want to attempt to purchase on corrections and obviously if there is a massive correction then I would get hold of the savings (such as the GFC).



Still looking for an entry into some good tele companies (TLS comes to mind) and also some good companies in the food sector. WOW comes to mind and WES. But I am still learning and trying to be a bit more conservative. AYN, CFU and EGO were the shares that I held from 2010 and beyond. I sold out of some the other ones mentioned above which I bought when I got my first job (SBM etc).



I realise its not a perfect portfolio and I do wish to improve on it and get into some more sectors such as food. Currently I have been watching: TLS, WOW, WPL, WES and would love to get into some banks one day when we get some GFC equivalent prices.



Thanks for taking the time to read, I will update accordingly if thats okay with you as there is no set rules with my stategy and I just buy whenever the markets are falling and as you cant the time market perfectly I just do the best I can.



(Credits go to Ryan C as I borrowed your layout when presenting my information).




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CGT from company / hedge fund

Hello,



I plan to move to Australia in 2015. I have a few questions

-> As a AU resident can i open company in New Zealand and invest money from there in world stock exchange (including ASX) without paying CGT and dividend tax (dividend from company which I invest in)?

-> If i want to start the investment company in Australia - should I pay 30% tax from all capital gain ? Is there any way to reduce the tax?

-> What are the positive sites of starting a hedge fund in Australia? Can i reduce tax in this way ?

-> Is there a lot of hedge funds in Australia ?





Best Regards,

satriani




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  • GBP/USD – 2.5 lots

  • USD/JPY – 0.5 lots

  • EUR/CHF – 0.25 lots


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Hello Dear Members

Hello Dear Members,

My name is Atul Vajpayee, I am new member here, glad to join with Earn Forex Forum. I want to meet more forum members. So, welcome to all cheers.

Thank you

:)




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EXNESS' new website — New opportunities for traders!







Dec. 18, 2014



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Confused by confirmed buy price

Hey all.



On the 4/12 I bought some APA shares on open.



The price I payed was 8.14...



but the days high was 7.848. How is this possible???




Confirmed XYZ Representative ?

I see this on many user name`s underline, what is that ?




Debit accounts

Hi All,



I am on the look-out for my first debit card account. To date I have been using prepaid credit cards to make online/international purchases, but the fees associated with them are now becoming ridiculous ($5 for the card, $0.10 per transaction + 3.5% of AUD price for international transactions).



Which institutions offer debit cards without charging any monthly account fees, transaction fees or international transaction fees?

Are there any that you would personally recommend?



Cheers




mercredi 17 décembre 2014

Oldies and Fossils

Thought this site might be interesting to some of the members who remember old school Australia.



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How to analyse market depth?

Hi,



Just referring to the screenshot below of the market depth at a particular point in time for stock VET (just picked this stock as it is topical), how do you go about analysing the market depth?



Can you gain anything meaningful by doing this?



This is what I can interpret from it below...



Looking at the screenshot, it shows 100 buyers and 45 sellers, so it looks like there are more buyers than sellers, and thus demand > supply.

There are also 2646692 units in the buy column and 1668340 units in the sell column, so again demand > supply.

That being said, if you only look at the totals of the first 10 price points shown in the market depth, there are 47 buyers and 29 sellers, so again demand > supply, but with 1004631 units in the buy column and 1139490 units in the sell column, so now supply > demand.

From this I take it that at this particular point in time, sellers outweigh buyers at these more realistic price points around the current market price.

The share price has fallen since then which seems to corroborate this view.



Is there any logic to this or is this interpretation way off the mark?



I read elsewhere that the market depth doesn't include buyers/sellers who are willing to trade at the current market price as opposed to at a specific price point, so perhaps this has an influence that you can't see too?



Does anyone here make trades on the basis of what they see in the market depth screen?



Thanks.


Attached Images






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News trading with Yadix.com

I am using news trading software with Yadix.com since july and have found very good result.



I made nice profit, and managed to take all profit from the trading, its more than 12k. Since this test, I have spread across accounts and making money on all accounts. Not always profit but overview of all accounts is good profit.



Happy with the execution, orders filled at fast speed, accurate fills on stops, stop loss and take profit! Withdrawal is to Skrill in same days also profits too and never had problem to take the profits.



Is there a place I can upload some account images or report to the forum to show result?



I think condition at Yadix is good for EA and news trading.



Serg




Is any Martingale EA safe?

Hello,



I am not experience with martingale system, I see many ea that use this and show good result in the myfxbook. But read that this will blow account in one day soon?



Can anyone make comments?




Where show trading results?

Is there somewhere where we can upload performance of system/robot on this forum?




Overcome your fear and earn your freedom !

There are 2 groups of traders one group you will find most of the traders who want to earn extra income these are 97% of the traders. the others the 3% win consistently because of 2 things, one they do not read news or fundamentals ! they use strategy based on traders behave and second they practice to overcome their fear.



Fundamentals all data already can be seen at the price.



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mardi 16 décembre 2014

Tax Question: CGT discount and CFDs/Stocks

Curious on the tax implications of the following -



If I have traded a few shares in the past year (to reduce my losses on most of them)... as well as held a few other shares, do I still get the CGT discount on the shares I have held for >1year?



Further to this, I have also been trading some CFD's but only day trades - again, does this affect my ability to claim the CGT discount on the other lot of shares?



Basically, I am concerned that the ATO might consider me a 'trader' - which I definitely am not...



Anyway, any input?



Cheers!




what's going in in russia?

Can one of you guru's explain this to me?



Sounds like it's spiraling out of control?



Currency crash + reliance on oil, huge interest rate increase yesterday



what's the cause and effect of all of this - I'm just not as close to this type of action as I once was.




Record Slump of the Russian Ruble vs. USD and EUR - Your Thoughts?

I have just posted in a blog about the reasons for the current record slump of the Russian currency versus USD and EUR. Has it reached the bottom. What is your opinion on USD/RUB and EUR/RUB?



And, more importantly, have you earned or lost anything on this extreme rides?




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European Regulated Broker FXFINPRO Capital - Feedback

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Mobile Platform question

Hi,



I would like to ask what is a good platform for mobile trading. I want to trade while at work and need a to see a chart and the order execution has to be fast and easy.



Also, are there any platforms/apps that can send me alerts when a price level get hit?



Thanks in advance




lundi 15 décembre 2014

Ichimoku Heiken Ashi Bollinger

I am looking for an Expert Advisor that incorporates Ichimoku, Heiken Ashi, and Bollinger. If I could find one that incorporates Heiken Ashi and Bollinger, I could probably get by.



Here is the strategy: (screenshots are included) Thank you for your help.

Trading strategy 12/7

IchiBollyHA Robot

Timeframes: All timeframes.

* IFF = IF and ONLY IF

** HA = (Heiken Ashi indicator)

V1: Sell IFF price is below ichimoku cloud

V2: Sell IFF Tenkan-sen (line) is below Kijun-sen (line)

V3: Sell IFF close price is at or below 1st s.d. of Bollinger band

V4: Sell IFF HA is red

STOP: Median of Bollinger Band

TAKE PROFIT: Buy back once close price crosses 1st s.d. of Bollinger AND HA (indicator) is blue









----

V1: Buy IFF price is above ichimoku cloud

V2: Buy IFF Tenkan-sen (line) is above Kijun-sen (line)

V3: Buy IFF close price is at or above 1st s.d. of Bollinger band

V4: Buy IFF HA is blue

STOP: Median of Bollinger band

TAKE PROFIT: Sell once close price crosses 1st s.d. of Bollinger AND HA (indicator) is red







New trader looking for advice

Hey guys I just joined the forum because I wanted to begin trading. I've wanted to start trading since I was probably 13 or 14 but never pulled the trigger but now I'm 19 and just finished my 2nd year of Electrical Engineering/Finance dual degree and thought now would be a good time to start. I was wondering if I could get some recommendations on where to start. For example is there any books people can recommend? any website I should become really familiar with? and which online broker in Australia would be best for a beginning trader who is willing to be very active.



Some books I've heard about were Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, The Intelligent Investor, Market Wizards.



As for the online brokers I have no idea what to look for when comparing different sites but I've heard good things about Bell Direct and CMC.



Any help would be great thank guys!




New week but no new strengths?

The single currency traders enjoyed a +230 point movement after reaching recent low at 1.2250 during early trade last week versus the greenback. The 200 period simple moving average on H4 chart proved yet again to be a good resistance price. As European banks took 129 billion of cheap loans, figure released last Thursday during the TLTRO auction, the result indicates that the Eurozone needs a QE program to beat the deflationary pressure. What does it mean? Well, market participants can simply look into the recent history and see that QE programs tend to decrease value of country’s currency. In simple words, a long term euro-bearish factor.



What to expect this week? As market participants look forward to Wednesday’s FED interest rate decision and policy statement, the single currency sentiment remains in hands of bears. As Eurozone’s PMI (Tuesday) and CPI (Wednesday) forecasted numbers remain low, it doesn’t look as the sellers will let euro break and stabilize above 1.25 versus the dollar.



Levels to watch: 1.2360, 1.2250 as valid breakouts will open the path to 1.20 on the downside. And, on the upside a break of 1.25 may see the market move towards 1.2750.




Attached Images





File Type: jpg eurusd (4).jpg (94.2 KB)






The price of oil?

The price of oil, more than just the US and Saudi Arabia forcing it lower as they hope to punish Russia? I think there is more and the weak price of oil signals that the global economy may be much weaker than expected.




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