samedi 31 janvier 2015

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Attached Images





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Saxo Bank broker is cheating their customers

Saxo Bank Cheated Users Group to join the class action against Saxo Bank in Denmark. Send e.mail to saxobankcheatedusersgroup@gmail.com to join the group and visit http://ift.tt/1EVYzWC for more information about the group and the complete history. Sorry I don't want to spam the forum but we need help to recover our account and our life.



The history:



After the SNB removed the exchange rate floor of 1.20 on the value of the Euro versus the Swiss Franc. That day a lot of Saxo Bank customers had long positions (buy) in the EUR/CHF. Then after that EUR/CHF dropped very fast and Saxo Bank closed the long positions of their customers. Some orders were closed with the stop loss order, the orders without stop loss were closed automatically by Saxo Bank after to send a ''margin call'' to the customers and finish the margin to trade in their accounts.



After to close all the positions, nobody had a negative balance in their account. The people lost a lot of money but they had their account with positive balance as I said. Then after that, 12 hours later. Saxo Bank sent one e-mail to their customers informing that Saxo Bank had liquidity problems and they had to re-quote all the EUR/CHF positions closed between 9:30 GMT to 9:41 GMT and 9:41 GMT to 10:01 GMT. Then thy changed all the prices to all the customers with a very low price, very different and far away from the first price that they gave to the customers before in their trading platform and system.



After that strange action taken by Saxo Bank, the account with positive balance had a negative balance. A huge negative amount each account. And Saxo Bank sent one e-mail to the customers asking to pay in 3-4 days maximum, otherwise they will start the legal process to collect the money.




Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (February 2 - 6, 2015)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:



EURUSD

Dominant bias: Bearish

The outlook on this market remains bearish. Price made serious bullish attempts, reaching the resistance line at 1.1400 and then consolidated till the end of last week; all in the context of a downtrend. This week, the downward trend can continue, enabling price to reach the support lines at 1.1200 and 1.1150 respectively. Only a break above the resistance line at 1.1450 could render the existing bearish outlook invalid.



USDCHF

Dominant bias: Bearish

The long-term bias on USD/CHF is bearish, but in the near-term the bias is bullish. For the past two weeks, the market has been going upwards in a slow and steady manner as, forecasted earlier. Should this slow and steady bullish journey continue for the next few weeks, the overall bias could turn bullish. However, occasional but transitory pullbacks are expected in the journey to the upside.



GBPUSD

Dominant bias: Bearish

On Cable, it can be seen that last week was characterized by a serious battle between the bulls and the bears, which resulted in serious swings in the market. Price reached a high of 1.5222 and a low of 1.4987 last week. There is a distribution territory at 1.5200; plus an accumulation territory at 1.5200. Further weakness can make Cable reach the accumulation territory at 1.5000 again. Overall, the outlook is bearish and it would remain so: unless the distribution territory at 1.5200 is breached to the upside and price is able to remain above it.



USDJPY

Dominant bias: Bearish

There was no much activity in this market last week; except occasional short-term upswings and downswings in the market. This week, it is either the supply level at 119.00 is breached to the upside or the demand level at 117.00 is breached to the downside. A breach of the former would result in a new lease of bullish energy, and a break in the latter would result in a strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. But right now, this is an equilibrium market.



EURJPY

Dominant bias: Bearish

Despite significant attempts from the bulls to push up the price last week, the outlook in the market is bearish. From the demand zone at 130.50, price went upwards, reaching the supply zone at 134.00. On Friday, January 29, 2015, price closed at 132.66, on a bearish note. The weakness in this cross is still in place - only a break above the supply zone at 135.50 could really endanger the extant bearish outlook.



This forecast is concluded with the quote below:



“Since the market provides us with an infinite number of opportunities—and will continue to do so as long as human nature remains what it is, only fill your bowl with what you can carry on each trade.” – Dr. Ken Long




vendredi 30 janvier 2015

Using Fourier analysis to determine market cycles

Hi everyone



Has anyone make use of Fourier analysis when evaluating med/long term share cycles?

If so, how successful were they?

How did you use them?



Thanks

ottg




Can you recommend paid services that provide shares quality lists?

Hello everyone



Instead of doing all the fundamental and technical analysis myself can anyone recommend a paid service that provide a quality list of ASX shares for med/long term investments.

Criteria for paid service:

a. Proven track record of 10 years minimum with regular published results

b. Provide sound reasoning and supporting arguments for selection

c. Quality of shares based on sound fundamental principals - must be open about values used

d. Timing of shares based on sound technical analysis - must be open about techniques

e. Use pro-priority algorithms that can be explained in layman terms

f. Must provide enough information & case studies that will enable me to build confidence in their services

g. Regular updates



Regards

ottg




Forex - EUR/USD off session highs after batch of U.S., E.Z. data by ForexBrokerInc

The euro erased gains against the U.S. dollar on Friday, despite tepid U.S. economic reports as earlier data from the euro zone failed to boost confidence in the bloc's economic recovery.



EUR/USD pulled away from 1.1364, the session high, to hold steady at 1.1308 during U.S. morning trade.



The pair was likely to find support at 1.1223, the high of January 27 and resistance at 1.1421, the high of January 27.



In a revised report, the University of Michigan said its consumer sentiment index ticked down to 98.1 in January from 98.2 the previous month. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged this month.



The UoM also said its inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 2.5% this month from 2.4% in December.



A separate report showed that the Chicago purchasing managers' index rose to 59.4 this month from 58.8 in December, whose figure was revised up from a previously estimated reading of 58.3. Analysts had expected the index to fall to 57.5 in January.



The data came after Bureau of Economic Analysis said U.S. gross domestic product rose 2.6% in the last quarter of 2014, down from a previous estimate of 3.0% and from a growth rate of 5.0% in the three months to September.



Earlier Friday, Eurostat reported that the euro zone’s unemployment rate ticked down to 11.4% in December from 11.5% the previous month, confounding expectations for the rate to remain unchanged.



In a separate report, Eurostat said that the annual rate of euro zone inflation fell by 0.6% in January, after a 0.2% slip in December. Economists had expected an annual decline of 0.5%.



Core inflation, which strips out volatile measures such as food and energy costs, rose 0.5% on a year-over-year basis, but was still well below the European Central Bank's target of close to, but just under 2%.



In addition, official data showed that Spanish GDP rose 0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2014, above expectations for a 0.6% gain and up from a growth rate of 0.5% in the previous quarter, while another report showed that German retail sales gained 0.2% last month, disappointing expectations for a 0.3% rise.



The euro was also higher against the pound, with EUR/GBP edging up 0.13% to 0.7521.



In the U.K., data showed that U.K. net lending to individuals fell to £2.2 billion in December from a revised £3.1 billion in November.



Data also showed that U.K. mortgage approvals rose by 60,280 last month after a downwardly revised 58,960 increase in November, compared to expectations for a 59,000 rise.



In addition, the U.K. Gfk consumer confidence index improved to 1 this month from minus 4 in December, compared to expectations for a reading of minus 2.




USD/JPY: El precio continúa en sólido rango

Buen día;



El dólar norteamericano se contiene frente al yen y sigue sin dar señales claras sobre un movimiento tendencial definido luego de rebotar en soporte sicológico importante durante la sesión del día de ayer para luego volver nuevamente al soporte y buscar los niveles cercanos a los 117.50, que de romperlo podría ir a buscar los 116.98 correspondientes al 38.2% de la Exp del Fib. Alternativamente, si el precio logra cerrar por encima de los 117.69 correspondientes al 23.6% de la exp del Fib, se podría ver un movimiento hacia los 118.86, zona de resistencia importante.



En este momento los precios están en medio de una zona de soporte resistencia importante, por lo que la incertidumbre es bastante alta como para decidir sobre qué operación ir a buscar. En este momento nos mantendremos esperando una mejor configuración que satisfaga una buena operación respecto a la relación Riesgo/Recompensa o bien buscar operaciones en marcos de tiempo menores orientadas a operaciones de rango.



Buen Trading.




EUR/USD: En proceso de consolidación y busca canal en torno a las 1.1444

Buenas Tardes:



El dólar continúa consolidándose frente al euro y de continuar con este ritmo podría ir a buscar nuevamente un canal anterior y podría disminuir la rapidez en la caída de los precios. A corto plazo, el precio tiene una resistencia en los 1.1380 que de superarlo podría ir a buscar los 1.1444 como segundo objetivo. Alternativamente, el precio podría rebotar en el techo e ir a buscar el soporte siguiendo la tendencia técnica del par y mirar el 14.6% de la expansión del Fib en los 1.1206.

En estos momentos el par busca regresar a una línea de tendencia anterior, esto podría disminuir la velocidad antes de que los osos acumulen nuevamente energía para seguir cayendo.



Saludos :eek:




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Our picks for today are:



29.01.2015 07:00 CET Sell EUR/USD @ 1.13 4/5 SL 1.1435 TP 1.1065



29.01.2015 07:00 CET Sell EUR/CAD @ 1.4150 4/5 SL 1.4200 TP 1.3960



29.01.2015 07:00 CET Buy USD/JPY @ 117.70 4/5 SL 117.10 TP 118.33



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FREE brokerage offers

Can you please list all the FREE brokerage offers being offered from online brokers to trade ASX shares? Eg. "Name of institution - $600 free trades, up to 10 trades, valid for 90 days". I think this is useful for someone who wants to save a bit of coin & be a bit of a tightass as every dollar saved counts :D



Westpac - unlimited trades, 30 days

HSBC - $600 free trades, 20 trades, 90 days

Commsec $600 free trades, 10 trades, not sure about validity

ANZ Etrade - $500, not sure if a trade limit, 90 days




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jeudi 29 janvier 2015

Closing out of a position (how quick can it be done)?

Just wondering how quickly you can close an open position on the eminis s&p 500.

Currently Im playing the sim on NT and I'm doing ok when I scalp after a break out but im scalping one tick one way then reversing and scalping the other way. My question is on NT once I have an open position I just press close to close OUT the trade. Is closing it instantaneous or do you have to sell or buy back the contract to close out?



If its the latter, how quick can positions be closed out. Im aware that it depends on the amount of bids/asks but in general in a liquid market can you close out in less than a second on average?




Youtube trading interview series

Hi All,



I stumbled over an interview series where the host, Shaun Overton, interviews a number of FX and commodities traders. I found some of it interesting, maybe others will too.



You can find his channel here: http://ift.tt/1LoxQqb







SMS - Sino Rare Precious Metals

Sino Rare Precious Metals Limited (SMS) engages in the production, processing, marketing, and sale of molybdenum and molybdenum products. It owns and operates a molybdenum processing plant in Shaanxi Province in the People's Republic of China.



It is anticipated that SMS will list on the ASX during February 2015.



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What Effect Could a Negative Interest Rate Have Over an Economy?

Hello.



1. What effect would a negative interest rate have over an economy?



2. Is it positive of negative effect? In addition, what prompts a central bank to reduce their interest rate to negative (-)?



3. What do they hope to achieve by doing this?



4. What effect would this have on the fixed deposits or borrowed money in such countries?



For example, the interest rate in Switzerland is currently negative.



These are vital questions and answers would be appreciated.



Thank you.




NZDJPY frena las caídas en importante soporte y muestras señales de reversión

Buen día;



La paridad se ve presionada por la decisión de tasas del RBNZ

Encuentra freno en importante soporte en torno a los 86.00



Durante la sesión del día de ayer conocimos la decisión de tipos de interés por parte del RBNZ, la cual se mantuvo sin cambios en 3.5%, el mercado no esperaba cambios en esta oportunidad por lo que la reacción fue de debilidad para la divisa neozelandesa. Lo mismo se vio reflejado frente a sus principales contrapartes.



Tras las caídas, la paridad NZDJPY confirma un cambio de sesgo en sus movimientos, y se ve frenada en un nivel de soporte importante en torno a los 86.00 (76.4% Fib. – Nivel Psicológico). Hoy los movimientos han sido acotados cercanos a este nivel, presentando señales de reversión, lo que confirma el escenario. El RSI se encuentra bajo el nivel de 30 (sobreventa) indicando un posible agotamiento del momentum bajista, a la espera de la señal para una posible reversión desde los niveles actuales.



Un pullback, impulsaría al instrumento a recuperar objetivos alcistas en torno a los 87.43 (61.8% Fib. – R1 Pivot Diario) y en extensión, se observa una fuerte resistencia en 88.59 (MVA200 D1 – 50% Fib. – Kumo Ichimoku). Un escenario alternativo, en el cual la paridad continuara con los movimientos a la baja, el próximo nivel estaría en torno a 84.78 (S2 – Pivot semanal), un rompimiento de este nivel expondría al par a buscar el próximo nivel mínimo anterior en 83.59.



Buen Trading.




EUR/USD: no descartamos vera la paridad en las próximas semanas

Buenas Tardes:



Se mantiene el leve rebote del corto plazo en el EUR/USD aunque no hay que olvidar que se mantiene una fuerte tendencia bajista y que nada nos hace pensar en un cambio de su nefasto aspecto técnico. No apreciaremos ni la más mínima mejora técnica mientras que se mantenga cotizando por debajo de los máximos del miércoles de la semana pasada que dibujara en los 1,1679. El soporte que no perderemos de vista se encuentra en los 1,1096, mínimos de lo que llevamos de 2015. Ojo que su abandono nos haría pensar en la extensión de los descensos hasta la paridad.



Saludos :eek:




Norgate premium data - volume data for US indicies

Do other Norgate users have a way of getting volume data for non-Australian indicies?

They don't provide this unless you subscribe to data for a given region it appears.

http://ift.tt/15UDYp1





I suppose I could resort to Yahoo via Amiquote perhaps?




Forex day traders near Traralgon, VIC?

I will be living near Traralgon for the next 5 months and I day trade (mostly evenings/nights) forex.

Does anybody with similar interest want to get together and maybe share ideas?




mercredi 28 janvier 2015

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advice on trading advice

A quick blog piece on people telling what to trade or trade. And when to do it. From a twenty year market pro. http://ift.tt/1zpICZp




PGC - Paragon Care

Paragon Care Limited (PGC) is a provider of integrated services to Australia's health and aged care markets. The Company supplies durable medical equipment to hospitals, medical centres and aged care facilities through its five businesses - AxisHealth, Iona Medical, Volker Australia, Rapini and GM Medical. It is presently trading at around a P/E of 14X, as well as having a fully franked dividend with a yield of 3%;):)



This isn't a ramp up of the stock but one that came up on my scan yesterday and looked pretty interesting. Please DYOR







Attached Images






Bitcoin Deposit and Withdrawal



Does your broker support Bitcoin Deposit and Withdrawal. How does it work because bitcoin's price changes everyday. Do pay to Bitcoin 2 Bitcoin account or by using an exchanger who converts your money from bitcoin to usd or euro. In that case where to buy bitcoin from?




Which Digital currency you use to deposit/withdraw funds in your forex account ?

Which Ecurrency do you use to deposit and withdraw funds from your forex account. Personally i use neteller and skrill. They work very well for me i know a lot other services there also like CashU, Paypal, Perfect Money, Web Money Etc. Which one do you use and why ?




Exness - The tightest spreads





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Do you trade through mobile platform?



Do you trade from mobile platform?

Fast on the go internet is available everywhere these days. Metatrader is also being offered at the mobile platform. I found it very convenient option to trade from mobile when not infront of pc. Do you guys trade from mobile please share your experience at the forum.




El oro pierde brillo, vender parece ser la mejor alternativa

Buen día;



Parece que el oro, como activo refugio, se está estancando. La presión vendedora por encima de los 1.300 dólares por onza se ha mantenido, por lo que creemos que es bastante probable una corrección.



Los indicadores de Momentum se están estancando y el RSI está corrigiendo a la baja desde los niveles de sobrecompra. La tendencia de máximos decrecientes viene desde niveles de 1.295 dólares, por lo que buscaríamos establecer posiciones cortas en ruptura de los mínimos vistos durante la noche, que confirmarían una mayor debilidad.



Inicialmente, buscamos como objetivo el mínimo de ayer y después, creemos que el oro podría ir en busca de la resistencia previa y el 38,2% del retroceso de Fibonacci de 1.254 dólares.



Vamos a vender en ruptura de 1.285, ubicando stop por encima de los 1.295.

Objetivos: 1.272, 1.265 y 1.255 dólares por onza



Buen Trading.




El USD/CAD de nuevo en máximos de 6 años; la atención se centra en la Fed

Buenas Tardes:



El dólar estadounidense ganó posiciones con respecto a su homónimo canadiense este miércoles, aproximándose de nuevo a máximos de seis años, pues la confianza en el billete verde se vio favoreciada a la espera del anuncio mensual sobre política monetaria de la Reserva Federal.



El par USD/CAD alcanzó el nivel de 1,2456 a primera hora de la jornada de negociación en Estados Unidos, su máximo de la sesión, para después situarse en 1,2434, avanzando aun así un 0,31%.



Era posible que el cruce encontrara un soporte en 1,2309, el mínimo del 22 de enero, y una resistencia en 1,2501.



Los inversores aguardaban los resultados de la reunión de la Reserva Federal, previstos para el miércoles, ya que todo apunta a que el banco cumplirá su compromiso de ser paciente a la hora de ajustar su política monetaria.



Saludos :eek:




La GBP/USD se acerca a la directriz bajista.

En gráfico diario, podemos observar cómo el precio a subido con fuerza 200 pips desde el mínimo en 1.4950.



El precio está muy cerca la directriz bajista en gráfico diario. Puede ser una buena oportunidad para entrar cortos.



Saludos.




Short term trading versus day trading

Hi,



I have been short term trading for about 3 months.. have clocked up quite a few trades, most of which last between a day and a week. Its not strictly day trading ie buy and sell the same day. I aim for that but sometimes Mr Market does whatever he wants :rolleyes: and it takes a little longer... I got myself stuck in some trades this way and so far have avoided making losses, but I can't shake the thought that leaving the parcel in, instead of making a loss, could also be considered "losing" as it deprives me of the opportunity to take other trade opportunities.



How do other people handle this conundrum?



Thanks!




What do you think about the bankrupt of Liquid Markets?

What do you think about the bankrupt of Liquid Markets?




Will the usdjpy be increased or decreased the next days?

Will the usdjpy be increased or decreased the next days?




Forex brokers cooperation with famous football clubs. What do you think?

What is your opinion about the trend of forex brokers going into partnerships/sponsorships with famous football clubs?




mardi 27 janvier 2015

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Oportunidad de venta en EURJPY: hay 3 objetivos bajistas en juego

Buen día;



El par euro/yen (EURJPY) tiene margen hacia 128,50, quizá incluso hacia niveles más bajos, tras la ruptura clara del soporte en 134,14 de la semana pasada. La reciente vuelta desde los mínimos el domingo hasta zonas de 130,15 nos da una oportunidad de venta.



La zona de 134,14 fue el mínimo visto en octubre y fue quedrado el viernes. La vela resultante fue bastante grande y roja y la resistencia de Marabuzo se situó en zonas de 133,37. Hemos vuelto desde entonces por encima de esta zona, pero no se ha mantenido la basa, con la zona de 134,00-134,14, una zona importante que aparece en los gráficos tanto semanales como diarios, limitando las alzas de hoy.



Vamos a vender por debajo de 133,37, con stop por encima de 134,37.

Niveles de 128,51 sería el objetivo inicial y podría ser suficiente para muchos, no obstante, si se alcanza esta zona, como nos sugiere el gráfico, mantendríamos algunas posiciones e iríamos en busca de próximos objetivos como la zona de 122,00 o incluso zonas de 115,40.



Buen Trading.




El NZDUSD se acerca a mínimos del 2011 y espera decisión de tipos de interés

Buenas Tardes:



Fuerte soporte en 0.7332 fundamentado por nivel técnico (Fib largo plazo)

Miércoles conoceremos decisión de tipos de interés por parte del RBNZ



Una de las variables clave a considerar para evaluar un cambio en los tipos de interés, es la inflación del IPC para la cual el objetivo del RBNZ es mantener una inflación entre un 1% – 3%. Se prevé un incremento en la inflación para el presente año, lo cual incurriría nuevamente en un posible incremento de la tasa de interés. Sin embargo, dado que las cifras de inflación para Nueva Zelanda cayeron durante el mes pasado, no se espera durante esta reunión de política monetaria una variación. Dado los últimos acontecimientos a nivel internacional tenemos que destacar que los bancos centrales se han vuelto impredecibles y se podría esperar alguna sorpresa.



La mantención de la cifra, presionaría al alza a la divisa neozelandesa, la cual podría recuperar la marca de los 0.7500, no sin antes romper R1 del punto pivote diario (0.7462). En un escenario alternativo, sorpresivo o por declaraciones posteriores de Wheeler, la paridad podría testear nuevamente el mínimo anual en torno a los 0.7396. El rompimiento de este nivel podría impulsarlo aún más hacia la baja, considerando un soporte importante en 0.7331 (Fibonacci de largo plazo). Cabe considerar también que previo a la reunión del RBNZD, tenemos reunión de política monetaria por parte del FOMC, la cual se espera sin cambios.



Saludos :eek:




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Need help! Deciding what to study to become a trader!

Hey guys,



I’m a university student, studying Finance. I’ve decided that I want to become a trader, not sure about which type (stocks/commodities/forex etc).

BEFORE, someone makes a smart comment about “Trading can only be learnt by trading or on-the-job” or “Just open an account and trade”… I WILL be starting an account and trading slowly.



I need help deciding which units would be MOST beneficial to study, for a career in Trading, either for hedge funds or proprietary firms e.g. Optiver, whom I’ve heard many good things about.



If any professional traders could take a 2 minutes reading the unit descriptions below and suggest in order of importance (1-8) OR top 5 units to study; along with reasons. I would be very grateful.



Thank you in advance! :)



ACST201 – Financial Modelling

AFIN270 – Stochastic methods in applied finance

AFIN250 - Investments

AFIN328- Financial Risk Management

AFIN329 - Derivatives Instrument

AFIN331 - Quantitative Modelling in Applied Finance

AFIN353 - Advanced Corporate Finance

AFIN352 - Applied Portfolio Management


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Financial Modelling - ACST201

This unit explores some basic concepts of finance, in particular: -price; yield; the relationship between price and yield; interest rate risk; reinvestment risk; duration and its uses; volatility; the contingent payments approach; arbitrage pricing theory; pricing forwards; futures and options.

Financial mathematics to analyse transactions involving commonly used financial instruments in the context of the markets in which they are traded.



Stochastic Methods in Applied Finance - AFIN270

This unit provides students with a more detailed insight and understanding of the valuation models introduced in earlier units and includes extensive use of Excel. The unit addresses a number of topics, within which theoretical models are developed and then explored further using Excel. These topics include random walks, martingales, ito calculus, and arbitrage.



Investments - AFIN250

The investment industry has experienced rapid change over the past three decades. Many of these changes in the investment environment are discussed in this unit. An important theme of the unit is that developed markets are near-informational-efficient - that higher expected returns only come by bearing greater investment risk. Throughout the unit a modern portfolio theory approach is applied, focussing on the implications of efficient diversification, in providing a proper measurement of risk and the risk-return relationship. The asset allocation choice is also considered in depth, as it is a primary determinant of the risk-return profile of the investment portfolio. In summary, the unit introduces the principles of valuation as applied to a broad range of asset classes including models of equity valuation, debt valuation, commodities, private equity, and alternative investments such as distressed securities and real estate.



Financial Risk Management - AFIN328

How to apply and evaluate the quantitative methods covered in the unit in analysing and managing portfolios as well as the risk arising from various financial investments. In particular, students are expected to be able to: examine and find optimal investments strategies with respect to risk and return; attain an excellent knowledge of the role and characteristics of international financial markets and institutions; understand the pricing of various financial products and how they can be used for hedging; evaluate econometric models for financial variables; and acquire an extensive knowledge on the major approaches to managing market, credit and operational risks.



Derivatives Instrument - AFIN329

This unit explores the characteristics and pricing of derivatives. The importance of the principles of hedging and arbitrage in derivative pricing, is considered. Derivatives investigated include forwards, futures, options and various structured products. In particular, the unit covers non-standard securities and numerical methods.



Quantitative Modelling in Applied Finance - AFIN331

. This unit develops the modelling skills of students, with an applied focus complementing the overall applied focus of the degree. Quantitative modelling is widely practised throughout the finance industry, including in the areas of financial statement analysis, corporate finance, and risk management. In addition to developing students modelling skills, this approach also helps to advance students' understanding of the various theoretical issues on which these models are based.



Advanced Corporate Finance - AFIN353

This unit challenges the student to consider a comprehensive set of factors that influence organisations in their payout, investment and finance decisions within a dynamic framework. The decision might reflect the personality of a CEO, the composition of competitors or expectations about fluctuations in the economy. In this sense, students need to be able to appreciate the differences between theory and practice. Further, students are encouraged to read academic and professional finance journals and the business sections in the daily press. By the end of the unit students should understand: the theoretical and practical implications of the multifaceted nature of risk; the different issues (including flexibility) to be considered, and the different approaches (including real options) available, in valuing risky projects; issues in determining capital structure; the theory and methods used in assessing the costs and benefits of mergers and acquisitions; and the link between corporate governance and finance.



Applied Portfolio Management - AFIN352

This unit provides students with the analytical skills and techniques required to effectively manage diversified portfolios of securities. The unit prepares students for asset allocation management and performance assessment of diversified portfolios. Issues relating to the management of portfolios containing options, futures and other derivatives will also be reviewed. After completing this unit students have greater knowledge for effective portfolio management and an increased awareness of potential practical problems in implementation.





Thank you for your time and advice!:):xyxthumbs




lundi 26 janvier 2015

Compensation for negative account balances following "Black Thursday"



JAN. 23, 2015

We would like to respond to numerous appeals from traders in the aftermath of the Swiss franc's "lift-off" on January 15.



Remember that as a consequence of the abrupt increase the Swiss franc's exchange rate relative to the main global currencies, which was caused by the Swiss National Bank's decision to abandon the cap on the CHF/EUR exchange rate, on January 15, 2015 many forex traders incurred heavy losses, leading not only to stopped-out transactions but also resulting in negative account balances, in some cases measured in hundred of thousands of USD.



Unlike most market participants, our company never requires reimbursement for losses from clients who have "gone into the red". In other words, under no circumstances will our clients be in a situation where they will "owe the company money". This is properly stipulated in the Group's General Business Terms (par. 2.6 (d) of EXNESS (CY) LTD's terms, par. 23.4 of EXNESS LIMITED's terms): "If a Stop Out execution has resulted in the negative equity of the Client's trading account, it will be compensated so as to bring Equity to $0."». Thus, our company always automatically compensates for negative balances in our clients' accounts.



"We believe that compensating for clients' negative balances is a perfectly acceptable practice and have no intention of abandoning it. The trading on the forex market undoubtedly entails high risk, but traders should not incur losses beyond the amount of their deposits in their trading accounts," said Petr Valov, Director of EXNESS. "I must note that the events that have taken place in the market may impact many forex companies' policies as well as traders' preferences. Among brokers, the STP (Straight Through Processing) model had previously been believed to be 'risk free'. However, the sharp rise in the Swiss franc's exchange rate and the resulting losses have shown that trading on market maker accounts (where positions are not always sent directly to the market) may be preferable for private clients, because it gives the broker much greater ability to control risks."



Today the situation on the financial market is relatively stable, and many traders have already resumed trading financial instruments with CHF.




The different types of risk in Forex Trading

The different types of risk in Forex Trading







There are two basic classifications risk: systematic risk - a risk that affects all currency pairs. Examples of systematic risk are global political events, natural disasters or war. Unsystematic risk - sometimes referred to as "specific risk". It only affects a very small number of currencies and currency pairs. One example is the economic news, the influence in a particular country or region, such as a sudden strike by employees or a change in interest rate. Diversification across multiple non-communication with each other standing in currency pairs is the only way to really protect themselves from this danger.Now that we have considered the two main risk classifications closer, let's look at several types of specific risk.* Risk of default - this is the risk that the firm with which they trade currencies, is unable to pay the balance, if you want his money back. Many Forex traders remember the event at Refco in the spring of 2005. One of the largest brokerage firms in the world went bankrupt. Parts of the company were auctioned or sold. Unfortunately, the customers were not able to deduct their profits to the brokerages were sold. Choosing a trustworthy broker is better than most.



* Country risk - this refers to the fact that not one country does not fulfill its financial obligations. If this happens, it may harm the values ​​of all other investment vehicles in this country. These are countries. affected pulled, which have strong economic ties with that country. Country risk also applies stocks, bonds, options, futures. But worst hit are the currency, issued by that particular country. This type of risk is often seen in developing countries or in countries that have a strong deficit.



* Exchange rate risk - if you are positioned in a foreign currency should also be observed in other currencies that are closely associated with their economic data, for example, affect the British pound, also have an effect on trade of the euro. If the pound adversely affected, one sees losses against the U.S. dollar, the euro will also be negatively affected. Maybe not to the same extent, but one thing is certain: he will not rise. Have to know what effect the currency pairs with each other, which you are trading is vital to the long-term success.



* Interest rate risk - changes in interest rates during all open trades affect the amount you get paid per day or is close to the trade. In an open position until the following day, every day there is a rollover, where depending on the position of a credit or debit on the account gets. This depends on the rate of the two countries currencies. If you sell the currency with the higher interest rate, you get charged the daily interest that has calculated the broker. Have you bought the other hand, however, that currency, interest rates are available these days and you get a credit.



* Political / economic risk - this is the danger when government changes, revolutions make it necessary to re-assess a country if it is as fast possible. Since this is generally not the case, it causes immediate and drastic changes in currency rates where this country is one thing. Another example of this risk, government intervention, which we usually see in Japan. There is attempting to provide low currency prices to resort to export under the arms.* Market risk - the most trusted and the only danger of short-term traders. Market risk refers to the daily fluctuations in the price of a currency pair. Also referred to as volatility, an effect of certain market forces. It is a measure for the risk of each position is exposed. Because fluctuations are the reason that everyone has the opportunity to make money, the greatest possible volatility is important for this opportunity. The more stable a currency is, the stronger the movement in any direction.



* Technology-risk - now they ask yourself, what does this mean? It will only be traded online, according to a working system is essential for survival. What do you do when the online connection fails? Do you have an alternative Internet service? A second PC is present if the first fails?Is the phone number in the vicinity, to close the position quickly? If Yes, you can get by at all?



* Risk of misusing - here they are the source of errors. Have you ever opened a position and were right, your balance has been reduced but always? then you simply have the wrong key. They were distracted, were nervous, were not looking and then something like this happens. They wanted the market quickly, because there was a rapid movement, which was run on and they did not want to look after. It happens to everyone, it happens the best, it happened even at a public event. Aschaffenburg is held every year in an event, act live on stage at the commuters. They wanted to close a position and it has doubled instead. It would have been sold at the top - that was one day gone the long and has realized it too late.It went down and made a profit of 200 €, 50 € for the day lost in this one position. So it can go, it will always come back so if you're not careful. It is hoped that the market comes back. But just then he runs like clockwork further against you.As you can see, there are some kinds of risks that make life difficult for a dealer and he has to dedicate special attention. Decide how much potential profit, while you have to respect the risk is one of the main tasks of speculation.




Are you still biased for EUR/USD trading?





Statistics say that EUR/USD has the biggest chunck of market share and is the favorite currency of most traders. But in recent times EUR/USD have fallen from 1.4 to 1.11 in a very short periord of time. Many traders are suprised to see euro falling so much in little time.If you EUR/USD is your favorite pair, Would you still say EUR/USD is the safest pair trade under current market conditions and be biased towards it ?




Have you tried mirror trading system like zulutrade ?





Well i have been hearing alot about mirror trading system where you can follow your favorite trader whos a verified track record. Your only job is to choose the profitable trader and follow him and he will be making money for you. In return you would have to give minimal fee at the month end.



I have seen mirror services zulutrade, mt5 live signals, myfxbook autotrade. Please share your experience with mirror trading service with stats.




The Gravity of Regulated Forex Brokers and How to Avoid the bad brokers

Looking for the right Forex broker has been a task that many of us have loved and hated. Sometimes we find the right one pretty much straight away but at other times we struggle so much that we simply want to give up. The problem is that there is so many different Forex brokers out there such as ECN, STP, futures, options and so on. The sheer volume of them available for every sector can become the obstacle in actually finding one. Despite all this however, there is only one type of Forex broker that we should all look for – a business partner.



Business partners tend to have each other’s interests at heart and they both agree on the final outcome of the project, whatever it may be. The final outcome is usually related to profit and the same applies here.

This is why you must ensure that your Forex broker is regulated. The reason why is ‘security’. You need to feel safe that your business partner is honest and if they are not, they are being watched over with a careful eye by the regulator. The regulator is your security blanket. They will ensure that nothing is manipulated and that you are given a fair opportunity to make your business and trading work i.e. become profitable.



One factor that you must be careful with is straight through processing, usually referred to as STP. The reason why you have to be careful is because there are two versions of STP and one them can be used to fool you.

The first version does exactly what it says. This is when STP Forex brokers process your order by sending it straight through to the Interbank market. There is nothing for you worry about here as this is the main trading environment for Forex traders where nothing can be manipulated.

The second version is a bit sneakier. Instead of sending your order to the Interbank market, it is processed by dumping your order straight through to their dealing desk. The dealing desk is where customer orders are manipulated automatically or manually by the Forex broker. So, you must ensure you check that your order is being sent to the Interbank market because if it is not; this is not an STP Forex broker. In fact, what happens here is that they try and correlate prices with their own liquidity providers which results in them giving you ‘the best possible price’; which is just a smoke screen for a price where they make a profit.

STP Forex brokers are a great type of company to trust with your investment. However, you must be aware that this industry will produce untruthful companies who will literally say anything to get you through their doors. After a while you may find that they are no longer operating but by that point it will be too late for you to reclaim any of your investment. The truth is you probably won’t succeed because of the fact it was ‘investment’, and everyone knows that this comes with an element of risk. The blame will be placed on you because in the eyes of the law, you made a bad investment.



How to be careful of bad Forex brokers

As we all know, trading in the Forex market is impossible without the aid of Forex brokers. However, as the online Forex broker has risen through the years, a few bad ones have appeared out of nowhere. At first they seem like a legitimate company only to find that at a later date they have been shut down due to ill practices.

Unnecessary paranoia

It is situations like this that have created paranoia in the market where Forex brokers are given a bad name. Even worse, the financial industry has been deemed as one of the most untrustworthy industries since the crash that this is the last thing it needs. The reality is that this paranoia is unnecessary. The reason why is that all industries have unethical companies sprouting out now and then but it is really up to us to decide if we wish to get involved with them or not. Simply put, with a little extra research we should be able to find a suitable company to work with.

Strong business partner

When new traders look for a broker the first thing they tend to look for is the spread cost to see if it is the cheapest option. However, this may not always have to be the case. The best way to look at the process of using a broker is to consider it as a business partnership. In normal circumstances, we would always choose the strongest and the most financially stable business to partner up with because it gives us the best probability of making a return or if anything; stay in the market. The same applies when we are looking for a Forex broker. We want one that is successful and let’s face it – the one that makes money; but in a fair way. This is the exact reason why we got involved in trading in the first place.



Length of service

Believe it or not some Forex brokers do not last a long time. Without mentioning any names, some don’t even last a year. By finding out how long the broker has been afloat and what is their current financial stability, traders should gain confidence in their choice. If the broker is looking shaky then questions need to be raised.



Affiliates

There are many websites that have fair affiliate deals with numerous brokers where they simply get a commission on the number of customers they provide. They do not promote one Forex broker in particular so they leave the choice to the customer. This is fair. However, be wary of companies promoting only one broker. This means that this is only done for financial reasons. This does not mean it is an unfair way of doing business but it simply means that you need to do more research. Even if they are a big company this does not mean that questions should not be raised.

In essence, it may prove to be crucial not to simply look for the cheapest alternative. Cheaper is not necessarily better. Usually, if something is cheap, the quality is no good. The same applies here. It is more beneficial to focus on the quality than the low cost or the size of the company which can usually blind us into a false sense of security.




Things to consider before choosing a forex broker

What are the things you will consider before you deposit your hard earned money with any forex broker?



In My opinion i will consider these conditions





01. Regulation by financial authority

02. Fast Deposit and Withdrawals (better if local)

03. Tight Spreads

04. Enough Leverage

05. Multiple Trading Platforms

06. 24*7 Support in Preferred Language





Please submit the conditions you will look forward to too.




China - Is the dragon awakwning?

Some data out of China started to rebound, but is the dragon awakening or is it just one good data set for December in an overall downtrend? I think the debate has been going back and forth if China can avoid a hard landing. For now it seems as they are playing with a soft landing, but I think it is still too early to tell.




GBPUSD Triple Bottom

The GBPUSD has dropped sharply over the past seven months, but is now approaching a triple bottom and I think this currency pair will rebound from here. I took the recent dip below 1.5000 as a buying opportunity.




Greel Elections Aftermath

The worst case scenario has happened for some, while others claim this is the best thing that happened to Greece. How likely is a Greek exit from the Eurozone?



I think an exit is not very likely, but I think that for Greece that would be the best solution.




PAR GBP/USD, EL PROTAGONISTA “TAPADO” DE LA SEMANA.

Buen día;



Vamos a centrarnos en la gran “tapada” de esta semana: la libra esterlina. Y sobre todo porque va a seguir bajando. La caída fue espectacular a lo largo del jueves, rompiendo el soporte del 1,4951 y cerrando la semana en 1,4985.



La libra se mantuvo próxima a mínimos de 18 meses con respecto al dólar el viernes 23, a pesar de la publicación de unos buenos datos sobre ventas minoristas, aún lastrada por las expectativas de que el Banco de Inglaterra mantendrá inalterada su política monetaria durante algún tiempo más.



La divisa británica se vio debilitada tras conocerse el miércoles que las actas de la reunión de enero sobre política monetaria del Banco de Inglaterra indicaban que los miembros del comité votaron por unanimidad mantener los tipos anclados en el 0,5%, mínimos históricos.



El par GBP/USD alcanzó el nivel de 1,4958 durante la mañana de la jornada de negociación en Europa, el mínimo de la sesión; posteriormente, el par se consolidó en 1,4985, dejándose un 0,17%.



Buen Trading.




Fresh Market Analysis

EURUSD: Euro continues printing new lows vs the greenback



The Euro started new trading week with a drop to 11-year lows against the greenback as the anti-austerity party won Sunday’s elections in Greece.



Why Greeks’ choice to elect the anti-austerity party Syriza matter to the Euro? Well, its party leader Mr. Alexis Tsipras vowed to renegotiate the terms of the Greece’s bailout package received from Troika over the last few years and reverse some of the measures imposed. Although Greece is one of the smallest members of the Euroland it surely will test the model of the EU. As if those negotiations will go ahead with a positive for Greece outcome, then markets could expect similar actions in Portugal, Ireland and Cyprus.



Technically speaking, the pair continues to attract sellers on pullbacks. After making a lower low (1.1097), the pair is currently traded at a lower high (1.1270). Chances are that not breaking 1.1290 would see the pair making a new lower low at around 1.1050 and later targeting weekly support1 at 1.0985. On the other side, a break of 1.1290 could see the pair advancing to 1.1332 – a pivot point for this week.




USD/JPY: Precio busca cerrar por encima de los 117.98

Buenas Tardes:



El dólar norteamericano ha presionado al yen durante la última sesión, el cual busca cerrar por encima del nivel del 14.6% del Fib en los 117.98, para así consolidar un peldaño más hacia los 119.48 correspondientes al 23.6% de la expansión del Fibonacci. Alternativamente, si el cierre diario se ubica por debajo de la zona mencionada, el precio queda expuesto para buscar niveles inferiores en los 115.48.



En este momento observamos que no hay aún una configuración importante para tomar una posición larga según la tendencia técnica. Adicionalmente, observamos cómo los volúmenes empiezan a aumentar cuando los precios empiezan a disminuir. Por lo pronto, nos mantendremos a la espera de un sesgo y oportunidad más definida.



Saludos :eek:




Brazil Drought

Things are looking pretty grim in Brazil it seems. Sao Paulo, population 20 million, is practically out of water and now the power's starting to fail too.



Not good. I can't even imagine what they'll do should they actually run completely dry. 20 million people - you can't just send a few truck loads of water in to fix that.



http://ift.tt/1LagAVm




dimanche 25 janvier 2015

Julie Bishop for PM

As much as I hate to say it, poor old Tones has done his dash and perhaps from this point, the best thing he can do for the party and the nation as a whole is facilitate an orderly transition to a new leader.



While a favourite of the Left when he's a rung or two below looking enviously up, Malcolm Turnbull was a failure as opposition leader and while Scott Morrison was outstanding as immigration minister, we need to see his metal in a major domestic portfolio before he can be considered. For the period ahead, he's got that opportunity.



The government also needs to effectively steer the economic narrative and for that, Joe Hockey has demonstrated he's simply not up to the task. He has to vacate his role as treasurer as well.



My choice would be the long serving deputy Julie Bishop to lead the party and the country with Malcolm Turnbull as her treasurer. I'd first like to see how politically competent Malcolm is in his natural arena before he has another opportunity to step up to the party leadership.




FiftyEight Fluffs Around In Futures

Time to start my own thread as I attempt to become more organised and more focussed at the Futures game.



Initially it will just be a place for me to brain dump about brokers, data, software etc. I have a few ideas of how I want to progress but I assume this will change as I figure stuff out. So I hope this turns into a more concrete learning plan and eventually a Trading Journal.



Currently I play around with SPI and the FTSE and use thechartist for EOD US equities. I did not think I could do any better than thechartist so I did not spend much time looking at equities. I also find EOD quite boring.



At the moment I am working a 3:1 roster but eventually I will find an equal time roster to give me more time at the screen also because my roster the posts will be a bit sporadic.



I originally started trading futures with a sport bet winning so I really was just having some fun and was lucky enough not to blow up my account and got on a few winners. I now want to take it a bit more seriously.

I have decided to trade the HSI mini for a few reasons, they are cheap, move around, the hours are perfect and if I am any good I may be able to transfer the skills gained directly to the HSI. I have no idea if this market will suit me but seems like as good of a place to start as any.



My current plan is to buy Ninja Trader, find an appropriate data feed and then execute through IB. I will spend time learning NT while I try and get a feel for the MHI. I don’t want a system but I do want to learn some basic coding and improve my Excel skills so I can start testing some ideas. Very simple ideas that have been looked at before but I’d like to look at them myself.



Then I need to look at how I will organise my day, a trade plan, some rules to follow, risk management and a bunch of stuff I have not even thought of yet.



On site at the moment but I will add as time permits and I have new ponderings.




Something funny to break up the trading day

Just something different and lighthearted to break up the day. Perceptions of traders. http://ift.tt/1zpICZp Twenty year market professional. Just having fun




Bet Size Calculator

I am not suggesting there is anything wrong with your calculations when using your indicator with "Lots" and I realize you do not want to individually tailor the indicator for me personally BUT surely I cannot be the only trader who wants to use this on a Spreadbetting account.



For whatever reason the Pos. size (0.15) does in no way relate to a Bet Size (£0.82) used in Spread Betting and for the life of me I cannot figure out how it arrived at 0.15.



In this true example I have added the currency symbol and two decimal places for clarity but are not required in practice.



Entry Lvl: ........ 0.98000

Stop Loss: ....... 0.98500

Take Profit: ...... 0.96500

Acc. Balance: ... £4,000.00

Risk: ............... 1.00%

Risk money: ...... £40.00

Reward: ........... £120.00

Reward/Risk: ..... 3.0

Pos. size: ......... 0.15



Stop Loss minus Entry Lvl = 50 pips

Entry Lvl minus Take Profit = 150 pips



Risk Money/pips = 40.00/50 = £0.80 bet size

Reward/pips = £120.00/150 = £0.80 bet size



So if my SL is taken out when it goes back 50 pips then I will lose 50 * £0.80 = £40.00

But if I reach my TP then I will win 150 * £0.80 = £120.00 @ 3 to 1 odds





Unfortunately, changing text and colours in metaeditor is my absolute limit when it comes to editing MQL4. I tried and tried to get my head round 'Graphical Object Manipulation' when I wanted to change the layout but reluctantly gave up and put the indicator back in a corner collecting dust. Ever since I joined this forum and helped with the development I have wanted to use this indicator in my trading BUT to date haven't placed one single trade with it. WHY ? - because I don't trade with lots - I trade with £'s.



Should I possibly start a new thread for "Bet Size Indicator" for all those Spreadbetters searching for it ?



Attached is MY Bet Size version which I have looked and looked at trying to figure it out. Would have thought it would come under the heading "Calculates risk size and position size. Sets object values." - H'mmm - How many lines of code would it mean changing ?



Please put me out of my misery.



.




Attached Files





File Type: mq4 PositionSizeCalculator_sepwind.mq4 (13.3 KB)






honest forex broker

capital one forex broker is an excellent fired broker with their nodeposite bonus given and their platform is unique.




The best binary options signal providers

We all know that it's very difficult to predict the exact market directions when it comes to binary options trading.



Also, Often times, it's difficult to select the best binary options signal providers out of the majority of them on the web.



Most times, we are faced with a whole lot of garbage signal providers whose original intention is to take your money away from you.



Luckily for newbies, I've researched and tested most of the signal providers with my own money and separated the chaff from the wheat.



So, here's a list of the best signal providers in binary options.



Don't fall for scams, there are so many scams on the internet looking for whom to rip off. Beware!




I'm new to earnforex forum

Hey guys,



I'm quite new here änd i think this forum will be a great resource for me to better learn and get adequate exposure in the forex trading field.




samedi 24 janvier 2015

Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (January 26 - 30, 2015)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:



EURUSD

Dominant bias: Bearish

The EUR is now one of the weakest currencies among popular currencies, having dropped by roughly 900 pips since the beginning of this year. The support line at 1.1150 has already been tested and it would be tested again (it can even be breached to the downside), as it is supported by a vivid Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. The outlook for this week is bearish – continuous selling pressure is expected and there is a great possibility that EUR could reach parity with USD.



USDCHF

Dominant bias: Bearish

The bias on USDCHF remains unchanged. On Friday, January 23, 2015, price closed at 0.8784. As EURUSD is weak, USDCHF ought to be strong, and the strength would continue to come gradually in the context of a bearish outlook. Price should continue to move upwards this week, in a slow and steady manner.



GBPUSD

Dominant bias: Bearish

One nice thing about Cable is that it is now going in a clean positive correlation with EURUSD. The two pairs tend to go in positive correlation with each other – an established habit. Cable and EURUSD are both dropping, but the drop in the latter is more significant than the drop in the former. On Cable, further drop is expected this week, which may be more serious than the drop that was seen last week.



USDJPY

Dominant bias: Bearish

When compared to the EURJPY, this pair did not move so much recently. Upswings are alternated by downswings, though the bears are able to make their presence felt. Price may be able to reach the demand level at 116.50, but there is possibility that the bulls would end up dominating the market before the end of this week.



EURJPY

Dominant bias: Bearish

This currency trading instrument made some effort to rally last week. From the beginning of that week, price went upwards by 200 pips, reaching the supply zone at 137.50. However, further upwards movement was rejected at that supply zone, and price dived steeply, reaching the demand zone at 131.00. There is a negligible upward bounce in the market, which means almost nothing when compared to the overall bias. Generally, this instrument has dropped by over 1300 pips since the beginning of this year. Price may test the demand zones at 131.00 and 130.00, but it would go further below only in the face of continued weakness in the Euro, for there is a possibility that the yen would become weak before the end of this month.



This forecast is concluded with the quote below:



“In my opinion trading is the only way to protect and increase your capital in the long term. But I am not saying that you need to become a day trader. There are many and also long term ways to trade.” – Julian Komar




vendredi 23 janvier 2015

Can IronFX benefit from the AlpariUK exposure?

Can IronFX benefit from the AlpariUK exposure?




Relatively New Trader - Seeking Advice

Hey guys,



Just seeking a little bit of information and advice here. I am a student who has 5k spare, in which i want to invest. What i wish to do is place 3k into blue chip stocks, and with the remaining give day trading a whirl. I understand it isn't a lot to start with, and I am not seeking advice regarding I shouldn't be doing this. This is happening, i want to learn.



My biggest issue right now is finding a broker. I day traded recently using ANZ Etrade, and saw my profits get eaten up in commissions (2 Hours - $105 profit - $40 brokerage fee = :l). So in that light i have been looking for a new broker and have narrowed it down to three.



Brokers of choice:

OptionsXpress

Interactive Brokers

CMCMarkets



Now regarding OptionsXpress, i am not sure if they are chess sponsored. If somebody could tell me I would appreciate that greatly. Considering I am holding 3k of my 5k, chess sponsorship would be the way to go, unless directed otherwise.



In summary, I am in search for a broker in which i can hold a good 75 - 80% in blue-chips, and 20 - 25 % day trading. What broker would be best suited for me?



Also regarding books, there are a ton out there, what would best suite somebody starting out? Something that would teach you analysis, risk, etc. Looking for a book with information not stories.





Cheers guys :)




Monetary Policy and Central Banking

EURUSD en caída libre hasta los 1.1218 luego de anuncio de Mario Draghi

Buen día:



Draghi no decepciona con la medida, ahora el gatillador son los resultados

El mercado quería más y recibió más, esto es lo que podría resumirse en cuanto a la sensación generalizada del mercado luego de que Mario Dragui anunciara una medida histórica de compra de activos.



Técnicamente, el instrumento se encuentra en un sesgo alcista. Tiene una resistencia en $1.1442 (Cercano a R1 diario) y un soporte en $1.1200 (nivel psicológico doble cero). De continuar con los movimientos a la baja, el instrumento podría romper el soporte para trasladarse hacia el siguiente nivel en $1.1107 (S2 diario). En el escenario alternativo, si el instrumento corrige, podría intentar alcanzar nuevamente la resistencia.



Buen Trading.




NZD/USD Análisis técnico: Rompe sólido rango de consolidación y la tendencia obtiene

Buenas Tardes:



El dólar americano logra romper el sólido piso en torno a los 0.7599 frente al kiwi, terminando así con una zona de consolidación iniciada en octubre de 2014, de esta manera el precio continúa con las caídas y tiene como próximo objetivo técnico los 0.7420 correspondientes al soporte señalado por el asistente de DiarioFX, y de llegar a romperlo el precio podría continuar hasta los 0.7275 en el mediano plazo. Alternativamente, de verse correcciones el precio podría intentar cerrar en el diario por encima del 0.7529 para ir a buscar el siguiente nivel de resistencia.



Saludos :eek:




Financial Ratio Benchmarks

Hi all,



Does anyone know where I can find financial ratio benchmarks of asx... like asset turn over ratio, net profit margin ratio etc.?



Thanks




EURUSD hacia 1.03?

El par ha roto su soporte clave de 1.1210, podría haber un rebote en esa zona, sin embargo, luego de las declaraciones de Draghi, el par se mantendrá al parecer todavía débil y podría testear la zona de 1.05-03 y desde ahí evaluar el siguiente rumbo...




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Daily Market Analysis from NewForex Broker

Forex News from New Forex: The euro goes down, while the greenback gains against the main currencies



The euro has dropped the most against the yen among the main currencies this year. It has declined 7.3% according to the data provided by NewForex analysts. On Tuesday the single currency was traded at 134.23 yen that turned out to be its local low in three months. David Fineberg, the member of NewForex team, supposes that the drop can be explained by the announce of Mario Draghi. The ECB president claimed that the central bank is going to purchase 60 billion euros a month. The purchasing program will start in March and continue until September, 2016. Last year the ECB actions were insufficient as the annual inflation rate lost 0.2% in the euro zone.



Meanwhile the dollar is strengthening as according to the US data release the unemployment level decreased by 10,000 and stopped at 307,000 last week. But analysts and policymakers expected a decline by 17,000. In the Asian trading session the euro has plummeted against the greenback. The EURUSD currency pair has slipped 0.17% and stopped at 1.1342. The support line of the instrument is at 1.0762 and the resistance line is at 1.1647, its local high registered on Tuesday. The dollar index has slipped to 0.26% and reached 94.41.



In the United Kingdom the retail sales level added 4.3% last month although analysts expected a 3% increase. The British pound is still under pressure as at the minutes the members of the Bank of England decided to keep the interest rate at 0.5% which appeared to be the lowest level. As a result the currency pair GBPUSD demonstrated the negative dynamics. The instrument has dropped 0.17% and reached 1.4985.



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How much do you think that gold will increase in value post the QE plan?

How much do you think that gold will increase in value post the QE plan?




Will the usdjpy be increased or decreased the next days?

Will the usdjpy be increased or decreased the next days?




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Starting share trading

I am about to start share trading, possibly looking at daytrading too maybe. Which brokers would you recommend? Something with a low commission on each trade too.



I think the main ones would be Interactive Brokers, CMC Markets & IG Markets. Thoughts about the pros & cons & any recommendations, thanks




jeudi 22 janvier 2015

Made an error - What to do?

So, my first time buying, just for fun I don't believe I'll be doing much, just wanted some stocks to buy and leave.

However, like an idiot, got a little confused while buying stock of PYL. Thought I was buying at $0.50 (which is probably still too high, as it starts at $0.20), and bought at $0.895 - boo!



Could someone please give me some advice... What I'm thinking I want to do (I am fully aware I'll probably lose a little bit of cash backtracking like this), is wait for it to hit at least $0.895 again and SELL.... Then wait for it to drop back down and buy them cheap.



SOMEONE PLEASE HELP THIS STUPIDITY.




Suggestions on paying the interest borrowed to invest

I am wanting to borrow money from the bank to start an investment portfolio. To do this I'm after some ideas on how I can repay the interest without digging into my limited savings. If this is possible.



Lets say I borrow $100k at a rate of 6.5%. I would need to cough up $6,500 p.a to meet the interest repayments. I am looking to invest long term so there wouldn't be any return derived from the $100k for a few years. I'm only wanting to do this if there isn't an impact of $6,500 out of my pocket every year.



My understanding (or misunderstanding): If the interest is tax deductible after completing my tax return should I receive the $6,500 in deductions? If so, I could put that aside to pay the interest in the following years. So I would just have to afford the first year's interest?



I apologise if this may come across as a stupid idea (or it may be possible), at the moment I don't know.



Been thinking about this for awhile so here it is, hoping to get some advice.



More info: If I go ahead I will be investing through a discretionary family trust.



Thanks!




Replay data NJ

So i connected NJ with IB, however im trying to use the replay data for the futures market.

However every time I go to utilities/download replay data, when i press OK it says no level 1 replay data for instrument date. How can i fix this error?



Thanks in advance




Inheriting an investment portfolio

Hi. Having inherited an investment portfolio, we are very new to this game and each answer we seek, seems to bring more questions - and cynicism on my part.

I have received different answers from our Solicitor, our Financial advisors and the broker currently managing the portfolio. Shares are now in Estate (Probate just granted).

My issue: 1. Do we act whilst in Estate (estate pays costs) or wait till in our name? (sounds expensive to me)

2. When we act, do we need to sell down before transferring to a new manager (via our financial advisor) or just transfer them?



Has anyone had recent experience with this please?




USD/JPY Análisis técnico: Precio lucha por configurar una posición larga

Buen día:



El dólar americano ha presionado al yen durante la última sesión, sin embargo el peso del yen ante tanta especulación antes de la decisión del Banco central Europeo se ha hecho sentir y presiona al par a la baja a pesar de un patrón de vela alcista. A pesar de esta presión, técnicamente el par continúa en sesgo alcista y el tipo de configuraciones largas van a ser las que buscaremos.

Un cierre por debajo del nivel de los 117.98 expondría al par a buscar mínimos recientes en 115.48. Alternativamente, el precio si logra romper los 118.86 estaría dispuesto a buscar los 119.49 correspondientes al 23.6% del Fib como primera instancia y luego los máximos del 23 de diciembre.



Soportes:117.91, 115.48, 113.51

Resistencia: 120.82, 121.91, 123.88



Buen Trading.




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Las señales siguen apuntando a la baja en el AUDJPY: vender a mercado

Buenas Tardes:



La pérdida del ímpetu alcista desde cerca de la media móvil de 100 sesiones así como los máximos de la semana pasada (que protegen la secuencia de máximos semanales decrecientes) es negativo para el sentimiento. El mercado finalizó con la secuencia de mínimos diarios crecientes y está negociando por debajo de la media móvil de 200 sesiones, lo que también es bajista y mantiene las señales apuntando a la baja.



Estrategia a llevar a cabo:

Entrada: a mercado y 95,75



Stop: 96.05



Objetivos: 94,25, mínimo de hace 12 semanas y 93,46, base de 13 semanas



Saludos :eek:




Capital gains tax for a newbie

Hello,



Question on tax, if I purchase shares for $500 and decide I want out and then sell it for $500 (breaking even) do I need to pay tax?



Also if I buy shares for $500 and my portfolio goes up to $1000 and I decide to sell half to free carry do I pay tax on that even though im selling for only my purchase price...



Thanks for your help.




mercredi 21 janvier 2015

IB Futures data subscription

Hey everyone,



was wondering what IB data I have to subscribe to which gives me access to SPI, Kospi, STW, Nikkei, ES, YM, CL, GC, DAX, FTSE. On the IB platform it says US Securities and Futures Value Bundle 1, 2, 3, 4 USD10.00. Does this cover the above markets.



I want to connect the data to NJ so I can use it for simulator purposes.



Also instead of streaming live data Im assuming I can record the price action then replay it while I trade?





Thanks in advance




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Good internet education sites

Don't think there was already such a thread so I thought I might kick it off.



Apart from 3 million cat pictures, fail compilations, hollywood gossip, sport and .. (and other entertainment) there actually are some great sites that can be invaluable sources of information and knowledge.



For my money I would kick off with



1) Whirlpool.net. This was started up by an 18 year some years ago in protest at Telstras ham fisted internet policies. For my time it is one of the best sites for analysis of internet options. However it also has a huge online community that offers wide ranging ideas on almost any topic. It's certainly one place I go when i want to suss out a potential scam, product or service.



2) On line university courses. I'm currently thoroughly enjoying Professor Jeffrey Sachs course on The Age of Sustainable Development. Very comprehensive and pretty accessible.. Certainly opened my mind to some new ideas.Of course there are plenty of other courses also available both at Columbia University and other places.



Has anyone else got websites that they believe offer quality information/ideas ?



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высокодоходные инвестиции

Здравствуй дорогой друг, на связи Андрей Малахов – профессиональный инвестор и финансовый консультант. Предлагаю вам рассмотреть со мной тему высокодоходных инвестиций.

Если Вы занимаетесь бизнесом, то Вы можете ориентироваться на 30 – 40% прибыли в год. Если Вы инвестируете в банк, то можете заработать порядка 15 – 20% годовых, будь то в Вышей национальной валюте, либо в долларах, либо в евро.

С другой стороны сейчас набирает высокую популярность инвестирования в какие-то хайп-проекты, в пирамиды, в памм-счета, причем разные проекты обладают разной эффективностью, разной надежностью и разной прибыльностью.

Вы можете научиться инвестировать в различные высокодоходные инвестиционные проекты. Самыми главными задачами для этого будут:

1. Определить надежность данного проекта. Что бы проверить надежность проекта можно использовать сервис проверки надежности инвестиционной компании – vsic или самостоятельно проконсультироваться у других людей, по поводу надежности компании.

2. Узнать доходность данного проекта. Например 100%, 200% или 300% годовых.

После этого необходимо сравнить возможные риски и возможную доходность в Ваших высокодоходных инвестиционных проектах и посмотреть где идет хорошее соотношение. Например, хорошее соотношение это 1:2, 1:3, 1:4. 1:6 является самым максимальным соотношением, которое может быть.

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Basing Stocks

I thought I’d start a new thread on stocks that have been sold off and are now in a period of consolidation (basing) and may be potential candidates to soon resurrect themselves.



There are 2 stocks that are currently clearly in a basing phase that I have on watch. They are GNC and CCL.



Where possible, I look to draw in a downtrend line down from one of the earliest highs. This I have been able to do for CCL. It is the breaking of this line that I look for, not to buy but to indicate that the downtrend, or at least the momentum of the downtrend may be over. Then I look for the basing phase to develop and the longer the basing period all the better. I then look to draw the trendline which is usually a horizontal resistance line establishing the price level which once exceeded marks the commencement of hopefully a new bull phase. The resistance line is fairly clear on the GNC chart, not so clear for CCL.



I am not necessarily looking to buy on any breakout as there could still be a period of choppiness before a good trend gets underway. I would only buy the breakout provided there is an underlying bullish pattern within the base or in the latter stages of the basing period. Alternately, a small micro consolidation just below the resistance level. The best buy is likely to occur with a consolidation pattern just above the breakout level.



The COH chart below, illustrates the points I have made above.



COH.jpg





CCL



CCL.jpg



Shaping up nicely to move back up though we are barely past the downtrend line. The exact break out level is not clear but for me it’s $9.40 to $9.50. Based on the nice pattern of movement off the Oct lows you could buy any break that occurs now with a stop below the lows of this month at $9.10. I will play a little conservative by buying half a stake above $9.40 and the remainder, waiting for that consolidation pattern to hopefully develop above any breakout.





GNC



GNC.JPG



The resistance level is clear but with no underlying pattern to support this breakout off the Dec lows I will wait till one hopefully develops. As a general rule I don’t buy breakouts where there has been a good run up in price without rest. There has already been one false break and a small loss if a trade was taken. That would have been a trade according to my trading strategy. Sometimes a few goes at it are required.





Comments, further observations are welcome.


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