EHE - Estia Health

EHE is in the same aged care/retirement home business as REG and AOG (as examples) and both of these stocks have done very well over the past few months. This gives me a little more confidence in EHE as a possible break out trade, not that I needed that as the chart looks good in its own right.



EHE.jpg

Attached Images

• EHE.jpg (211.9 KB)

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To trade full time or not

Thoughts and tips from twenty years of trading for a living.http://ift.tt/1zpICZp

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Huge spike in volume - why?

What would be a likely cause of the volume spike on the 21th November 2014?



There is an announcement on that date but would that be the contributing factor for the huge spike?

Attached Images

• syr_ax01oct14_to_02jun15.jpg (127.2 KB)

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$600 CPA- Easy Forex Affiliates

Sign up as an affiliate with easy forex and earn $600 CPA.

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Hedge Funds Advice Please

Hey guys,

I was lying in bed after doing some research throughout the night into hedge funds and quant funds. I could not help myself getting out of bed and making this post to seek some advise from the more experienced.



After much thought, I thought to myself that investing in Hedge Funds and REITs would probably presented less risk than stock picking (for me anyway). I had made some bad calls throughout my life and I have come to a realisation that I should allocate majority of my investment capital towards funds. Although, I will still pick stocks but perhaps only allocate a small % to play with to gather experience and minimise risk.



I am 27 years old now. My question is, is it worth getting into Hedge Funds with amounts such as 10K spread across perhaps 3 different funds (and sectors) and allowing the amounts to compound over 10-15 years? I like the idea of hedge funds providing consistent returns even during bear trends. I realise some funds have min investments of up to 500K, although there are some good ones that I found that require 10K and 25K respectfully.



Any advise on this matter would be greatly appreciated.



Thanks in advance.



Regards,



Kash

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El suelo visto en el oro, el dilema de los inversores

Buen día;



La mayoría de las materias primas han tenido pocos amigos en el ring en los últimos 12 meses, mientras los metales preciosos parece que han establecido un suelo de soporte durante los últimos cinco meses.



Para el oro, el suelo se sitúa en los 1.150 dólares por onza, lo que sitúa al inversor en un dilema ya que estos mínimos podrían marcar la base del soporte del mercado desde la que podría establecerse una fase alcista.



No obstante, también podría representar una línea en la arena que en caso de que se rompa, se creará un nuevo canal correctivo que anunciará una capitulación final y bastante agresiva.



En el 3T creo que la dirección general de la economía y las acciones en el mercado de Estados Unidos demostrará ser alcista. Por eso voy a comenzar una breve estrategia en el oro:



Vendemos en 1.179,70 dólares por onza Troy; stop en 1.245.-dolares. La búsqueda de objetivos en: 1.142…1.100…1.078…1.039 dólares.



Buen Trading.

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El euro cae más de un 1% ante la precaria situación de Grecia

Buenas Tardes:



El euro retrocedió más de un 1% con respecto al dólar y al yen este martes, aún lastrado por el enfrentamiento entre Grecia y sus acreedores sobre el acuerdo de restructuración de la deuda.

El par EUR/USD registró mínimos en 1,0714, su cota más baja desde el 20 de marzo y si situó en 1,0722, con un retroceso del 1,02 en el conjunto de la jornada.



La caída del euro se produce después de que Grecia no fuera capaz de llegar a un acuerdo con sus acreedores sobre el programa de reformas económicas el lunes. Atenas se quedará sin dinero este mes a no ser que llegue a un arreglo con los prestamistas a tiempo de desbloquear más fondos de rescate.



La moneda única se ha visto sometida a una gran presión de ventas desde que el Banco Central Europeo implementara este mes su programa de expansión cuantitativa por valor de un billón de euros dirigido a volver a acercar los tipos de interés al objetivo fijado en niveles inferiores aunque próximos al 2%.



Saludos :eek:

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Easy Forex Ltd

Founded in 2003, Its a company regulated by Cyprus Securities and Investments Commission and its licence is pass ported to all EU member states ( including Norway, Iceland and Lichtenstein )In Australia Easy Forex Pty Ltd is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investment Commission.



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China plans to create new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank

Quote:

---

WHEN people try to pinpoint the start of a ‘new world order’ they could look to March 2015.



This week, Australia announced it would sign on to China’s plans to create a new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank to rival global institutions like the World Bank and International Monetary Fund.



But far from being some boring economic plan, the bank — which aims to address the $8 trillion infrastructure gap and provide $100 billion for new roads, bridges and ports in Asian economies — could usher in a new phase of regional influence for China without US involvement.



UNSW’s Institute of Global Finance director Fariborz Moshirian said China’s massive foreign exchange reserves and desire for more power have driven Beijing’s plan.



“China is trying to use economic muscle and also in a sense it’s a reaction to the Bretton Woods institutions like the IMF and World Bank. They are seen as US and European children and China wants to make their own mark.”

“It’s sort of a byproduct of the rise of the financial strength of China ... We’re going to see more of this kind of influence because China can afford now to take part of this kind of activity.”

---

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Thoughts?



I wouldn't have thought it'd be that easy to just create another IMF? Is this why China has been hoarding gold all this time?

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Profitable EA for Forex Trader

This is a nice Expert Adviser for Forex Traders... You can make profit easy by using this.













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This EA must be OFF in all high impact red news. Non Farm, FOMC etc etc... In the ranging market, its better. Need VPS for run this..

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About Easy-Forex

Founded in 2003, Its a company regulated by Cyprus Securities and Investments Commission and its licence is pass ported to all EU member states ( including Norway, Iceland and Lichtenstein )In Australia Easy Forex Pty Ltd is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investment Commission.



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Low risk, perfect as diversification of portfolio, average 20% per year, responsibly

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we make robots for financial markets. Robot for EURUSD:

1. Only one trade per day (we don't make turnover and don't take profit from it)

2. Sharpe ratio>3

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20 years experience in the financial business.

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IronFX.com

I am Account Manager on IronFX.com

If someone have any doubt about our products, services and account types, please send me e-mail.



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NOW WE HAVE MIRROR ACCOUNT. INTERNAL HEDGER STRATEGY!



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Best Trading Platform

Have you heard about Easy Forex Pty Ltd?

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The a2 Milk Company™ is building a global business based on a differentiated, premium and branded portfolio of dairy and infant formula products supported by an integrated portfolio of intellectual property and a developing body of scientific evidence.



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Just Another Investment Journey

Hello all,



My first post, please be gentle. I would like to start documenting my investment journey along with others who have started doing it on this forum. Historically I have dabbled with stocks, CFDs (forex, commodities, indices, foreign stocks), hedge funds, mutual funds, index funds and ETFs. I have found that I suck when using leverage and perform better when I don’t have to worry about any margin calls. I also haven't performed too well in other financial assets and have decided to just stick with stocks for the time being.



My strategy is centralized around large capital high dividend stocks which shows the power of dividends along with a moderate buy and hold strategy, details below:



• ASX 20 stocks universe.

• Must have increased dividend each year for the past 3 years and also forecast consecutive dividend increases each year for the next 2-3 years.

• Sort by highest dividend yielding stocks (taking into account franking credits).

• Pick the stocks whose dividend yields provide a ratio of approximately 1.75 or greater versus that of the nearest cash deposit rate (currently UBank @ 3.77%).

• Average dividend growth rate should be greater than CPI.



Note that these are just guides that I follow personally which may change depending on economic conditions, interest rates, etc.



My current portfolio:

performance.jpg



The P/L does not include dividend returns (as I do not participate in DRPs).



Basically this is a modified version of the Dogs of the Dow strategy that takes into account dividend growth and a risk premium vs current interest rates.



My personal philosophy behind this strategy:

• Only large cap stocks because prices of these stocks are supported by index funds and ETFs that have to follow certain guidelines and rules.

• I prefer dividends as my main source of return on investment versus share buybacks or retained earnings (reinvestment back into the company) because I feel that there is a certain element of market timing (which I also suck at) in order to realize profits with the latter.

• If you look at Forbes billionaires list, the top 10 are always filled with people who own companies/stocks (except George Soros). Not with people who got rich through property, trading commodities, forex, bonds, etc.



Stocks were bought during 01/14 – 03/14 while VAF was bought ~1 month ago.



If current economic conditions stays the same, will re-organize my portfolio next financial year (due to tax incentives) into CBA, NAB, ANZ, WES, BHP & RIO.



Will see how far ahead (or behind) I will get vs the ASX Accumulation Index using this strategy...



Cheers.

Attached Images

• performance.jpg (147.2 KB)

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Regulatory changes and the trader. Pain and opportunity

http://ift.tt/1zpICZp Do your homework so the changes become opportunity not adversity.

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My Technicals Analysis

I want to share all my technical analysis with all of you and I really appreciate all your comments and opinions, thanks in advance.



Link to my blogs: Click HERE

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UNION…. WHAT UNION? (IT’S ALL ABOUT TRUST BUT THERE ISN’T ANY)

In my opinion, the European Economic Community (EEC) now called the European Union (EU) in my opinion is flawed in many ways. I have covered this topic many times before and I do not want to go over old ground, if it really interests you, you can check out all the historical blogs on my website.



The original idea of the EEC was “free trade” to compete with EFTA (The European Free Trade Association). This I agree with.



What I cannot get my head around was all the talk years and years ago about: -



Currency Union

Economic Union

Banking Union

Tax Harmonization Union

Foreign Policy Union

Social and Welfare Union (The Social Chapter)

Agricultural / Production Quota Harmonization



Well… we have the currency union and that's a screw up.



Where are the rest? ….



Like I have said before: -



19 countries using the same chequebook does not work

It then becomes all about trust

A Central Bank (ECB) is a great idea but all country central banks are then in straight jackets unable to act independently.

So many different cultures in a meeting = no agreements



I can extend this list. The above is a poor recipe for problem solving. Not that politicians are problem solvers in any case, they are more like blame attributers.



Ask yourself, when has the Eurozone ever agreed on anything? Yes, I thought for a while and couldn’t come up with anything.



A great example of a union… not!!



Born out of a desire of France and Germany to work closer together on a broad range of subjects it really has flattered to deceive.



There is no trust in the Eurozone that's why it is what it is and that is why it is where it is…it defers all decisions by kicking cans down the road.



The only business to benefit since the inception of the Eurozone in my opinion is the hospitality industry. The amount of meetings in Brussels with Eurozone leaders and/or Finance ministers is overwhelming; sales of cheese, pate and fine wines are through the roof.



About a month ago the new Greek government formed by the Syriza party came to power on the back of a manifesto promising changes to the Greek population, who had been under the “cosh” of harsh austerity for a number of years, that frankly did not work.



The Germans who rule the Eurozone said austerity should have worked so that’s it…it should have. The fact it did not for whatever reason or reasons is totally irrelevant to the German mindset. Here is a trust issue where the periphery don’t believe or trust the “German” approach. So much for a Union!



Over the past month Alexis Tsipras (Prime Minister) and Yanis Varoufakis (Finance Minister) have both been backwards and forwards to meetings in Athens, Brussels, Berlin and Frankfurt trying to re-negotiate the best deal that they can as they simply cannot pay for the current deal (Bailout 2), they require ACT III in the Greek tragedy (Bailout 3).



The fact that these meetings have produced nothing by way of a settlement or agreement is in the eyes of the Greeks, just negotiation up to and beyond a deadline. This is totally foolish and completely crazy as far as the Germans are concerned. Where is the trust here?



It is widely published that the Greek government will run out of cash in April, I have read that it will be somewhere from the 9th to the 20th of April as dates.



In the interim, uncertainty rules, there are rumours about a “grexit”, there are rumours about capital controls being instigated to stop a “run on the banks”, and there are rumours that the printing presses are churning out the new Drachma notes ready for a launch.



At the same time we read that the Greek long awaited list of economic overhauls to satisfy the Greek creditors namely the Eurogroup, ECB and IMF will be with the Eurogroup tomorrow, Monday 30th March 2015 at the very latest.



Greece is in a corner





However, the Greek officials know that a “grexit” would really harm the single currency. If a member country left the ‘union” and was able to revalue with its own currency to get itself back on its feet by moving in the right direction with a little inflation to achieve growth, and was debt reduction free from the shackles of Germany and the ECB, it could prompt more countries like Portugal, Italy and Spain to think about a move away from the single currency too. If it is not the governments that are in power at the moment then it would be the opposition parties whether they are far left or far right that would jump on the bandwagon. There could be a groundswell of public opinion that is anti-European.



In addition, the French and German’s have the most to lose if there is a “grexit”, as they have most money invested in Greece if it defaulted, which, a “grexit” would include.



Not much of a union after such a long time… no trust between partners.



There are faults on both sides and there is NO trust at all. This is what you get from an ill-conceived alleged union that quite frankly has never acted as a union in its history.



As I said last week and very little has fundamentally changed: -



Austerity did not work; it is still not working and refinancing the Greek debt is just avoiding a default. No matter what is done, the Eurogroup policy on Greece, with or without the IMF (International Monetary Fund) hooked into the deal along with the ECB to form the Trioka to make it look like a wider base of support and aid was going to fail before it even started.



Greece needs debt relief.



The Eurogroup needs to suck it up and provide a “Cash Back” deal to Portugal, Ireland, Cyprus etc. in fact, any country that has effectively had a bailout of one sort or another from the Eurogroup since the 2008-9 crash.



It is so straightforward – if they do nothing they risk another financial crash, another run on the banks, negative growth Deflation… this list can go on for pages.



Suck it up….



Austerity was not the way. It has not worked, and for Germany to continue down this road with the same old same old is complete and utter bollo**s. There are 19 countries using the single currency, 19 vastly different cultures that approach all aspects of life and business from a different perspective. One size does not fit all.







These are high stakes. It has taken Mario Draghi at the ECB years to create some stability. This is the ultimate risk. The credibility of the German approach, I would say stubborn approach. They appear totally intransigent to an alternative.



The “union” is not at risk because there never was one from the perspective of a united front. However, the “union” is at risk if Greece exits and it is seen to be a really positive move for Greece moving forward. The fear would then be that other member countries of the single currency would also consider an exit.



This is not over… tomorrow is a big day and I think it will all end in tears very soon.

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EUR/USD: sería una señal de fortaleza la superación de la resistencia de los 1,1040

Buen día;



A finales de la semana pasada pudimos ver un ataque fallido del EUR/USD a la resistencia de los 1,1040. Estaremos muy atentos a un cierre por encima de este nivel de precios ya que nos haría pensar en una extensión de las ganancias hasta el nivel de los 1,15. Sólo la superación de este nivel de resistencia nos invitaría a ver una recuperación mayor de su serie de precios. Por debajo vigilaremos su comportamiento en los 1,0461 ya que si los abandonara podríamos ver unos descensos hasta la paridad.



Buen Trading.

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Las caídas limitadas del EURGBP apuntan a nuevos repuntes: compramos

Buenas Tardes:



Por segunda semana consecutiva con rendimiento positivo durante la semana pasada el par euro/libra (EURGBP) tocó los niveles más positivos negociados en 4 semanas. Aunque el pico más débil se produjo a mediados de la semana, la consiguiente caía encontró compradores en la media móvil de 13 sesiones y la atención se mantiene al alza, especialmente con el canal de Keltner positivo.



Parámetros de la estrategia:



Entrada: 0,7310/15 y 0,7265

Stop: 0,7219,

Objetivos: 0,7387 y 0,7412,



Saludos :eek:

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Some Tips for Financial Traders

I am not a professional broker, but I have some experience in the capital market. Here are some 3 tips that, I believe, will assist new traders:

1) When the dollar goes down, usually strong commodities with monetary properties, such as gold or oil, go up.

2) When a currency loses its value, traders opt for alternative channels of investments to realize profits. For example, if the Euro goes down, the investors are likely to opt for European indices (e.g. DAX).

3) An upward trend of an asset can change 180 degrees in an instant. Financial markets are very volatile and tend to fluctuate. Always be alert. Hope for the best but expect the worst.

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5Stars Market Ltd.

Company Profile (Background)

5StarsForex is a leading provider of online trading services. Established in 2014, 5StarsForex is providing traders a world-class trading experience worldwide.

5StarsForex provides it’s traders with personalized Forex training programs, Dealing Room specialists, the best Introducing Brokers and Partners Programs with innovative and competitive Partners offerings. 5StarsFores provides it’s traders with the best spreads in the whole market, the fastest execution possible, the best bonuses and promotions among all other brokers, fast deposits and withdraws, and many more qualities traders enjoy with 5StarsForex.

5starsForex believes that the ECN/STP Forex Module benefits all the foreign exchange participants, 5StarsForex worked hard in the making the world of Forex more transparent with greater control for the traders.

5StarsForex have multiple liquidity providers and built solid relationship with some of the world’s largest banks and financial institutions to make our clients benefit from competitive Forex spreads even during volatile markets and news release.



Trading Software

5Stars Forex platform is based on the excellent and highly-regarded MetaTrader4, and comes with all the advanced features of the software which make a wealth of analytical options available with the highest degree of customizability and simplicity of design.

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Not a quick buck easy cure, just pro help stopping your mistakes

We don't do "the only system you'll ever need". We don't do cheap contests or free blah blah blah that doesn't really help you. We don't give an easy cure or claim you'll be awesome overnight.

We can help you because we have actually been professional traders since 1995. Real trading firm experience for two decades. Start by using our one month trade review program for $25. We look at one month of your trades finding and exposing the actual mistakes you are making. We send you a clear concise report on our findings with suggestions and tips. How to stop making those mistakes. How to get better. This is what we do with new or struggling traders at our firm, Trader's Bay Partners.

It's not overnight success. Its not easy. Its real work the way pro traders learn. An inexpensive way to actually learn and get better! Send an email with the order number TB10 to tompkinscontent@gmail.com and we will send you a PayPal invoice. Once paid you get information on sending us the files. Then we get to work on your new start. Its confidential. We don't see your account numbers etc. Let us help you now. You can go to http://ift.tt/1zpICZp to read free articles and see our services on the service page.

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Online MBA

Hi All,



I am in the early stages of looking at an MBA. Due to my current situation (living internationally, not knowing which city i will be in over the coming years) online seems like my best bet.



What are members thoughts of an online MBA? I have heard that MBAs are best value with regards to the networking rather than the actual content, online would obviously deminish this.



Also, there is a huge range of options such as fully flexible, 1 subject at a time, 18 month programs, 3 year programs etc etc. Does anyone have experience in weighing up these options?



Or at the end of the day would any form of MBA help to increase knowledge and look good on a resume (as well as fulfilling a personal goal)?

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OLV - OtherLevels Holdings

Founded in 2012, with offices and customers in Australia, the USA and UK, OtherLevels operates a second generation digital marketing Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) business that enables leading enterprises to communicate with their users on mobile and smart devices.



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Services similar to Colmex?

This platform is really nice...It's a shame I don't really trust this service.



Really I just need to know whether or not there are any other similar services out there? In terms of being able to buy/short at whichever price you place



The idea of having a massive gap in price (Spread) trading through IG, etc, is a little discouraging.. :banghead:

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Conditional Orders Problem at Westpac Online Investing

Anyone else been hit by Trailing Conditional Orders not working as expected on Westpac Online Investing or Commsec?



Westpac have a problem in their system that the info shown in screen reports on trailing orders sometimes doesn't match what the order is actually doing. Like when a trailing sell (stoploss) order was reported as trailing the price but then failed to fire at the price-point because it was not actually trailing- some stoploss strategy that was! Or when a trailing order goes past the indicated price-point but then fires to market at a different price. They have known about problems for some time but not fixed it yet.



Commsec system looks identical and is also provided by AUSIEX so they may have same problem but I don't use them so don't know.



Anyone else been losing out due to these problems?? Or would you know even if you were?

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Stop making the same mistakes without knowing the problem

You can demo trade for years and not know why you aren't succeeding. Trade copy's and picks etc. Start with something simple that pro desks like ours uses.



You can order the detailed trade blotter we use for our traders. It helps with reviews and understanding where your mistakes are happening and why. Its often nothing to do with the idea or technical behind the trade. Plus if your order and the blotter you get a large discount on our trade review program. You also get a detailed explanation file with the blotter, which contains a bit about how we do what we do. What makes traders at Trader's Bay Partners succeed.

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Stop by our blog for free articles from a twenty year pro in trading.

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Tax on Bank Deposits

Have been touted for the upcoming May Budget. Link: http://ift.tt/1GCtmuk



Surely this will be political suicide in such a low interest rate environment?

Details are scant but is the govt. nuts or are they trying to tighten the screws so that other budget measures will be passed?



Still nothing would surprise me as the Abbott govt. seems hell bent on fixing the apparent spending craze of the Labor party. Now the mining boom is over, what have our govts. done to negate the inevitable?



Not much from my way of thinking as I can't shake the feeling that we are in a belated and protracted post CFG hit.

The PM must have been aware of this hence him taking on the mantel of "infrastructure PM". Nothing like govt. spending to help the economy right?

TA reckons his mob will do a far better job than the opposition so they will need the money to fund this from somewhere. The last budget was an appalling mess so why not really put our nosed out of joint and tax our bank deposits.



I keep saying that the major party's all fail to ignite and garnish support from the mug punters so please, give us something to cheer about. Something tangible that will make me say, yep, I understand and fully support our leaders and their vision (aka business plan) and I'm prepared to tighten my belt and/or give a little back or forego now for more later. Oh wait, that's been done... ho hum...

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How Consistently Profit in Forex Trading - Can Be Profits Minimum 30 Pips a Day

Hello traders how are you? Today I will share knowledge to you everything about how to profit in forex trading continuously.



For people who learning forex trading, would certainly want as quickly as possible to be successful in the forex business. Each month can have many regular income. Can Be profit continuously so that your trading account continues to grow much from day to day, week to week and month to month.



But ... in fact more than 90% of new traders fails in forex trading. Their Account depleted only within months, within weeks, even just in days. Not only beginner traders, there are many traders who have for years familiar with forex still not be able to profit consistently.





To build a profitable trading system is not easy. It takes experience, patience, testing (trial and error) repetitive, continuous evaluation and certainly a strong commitment to succeed. Currently I have successfully created a trading system that can profit consistently. And the good news I will share this system for you in this forum for free. The system that I use I call "Swing London Session Forex Trading Strategies".



London Swing Session is a trading strategy that utilizes the natural movement of the forex market. Price movements in the forex up and down shaping price swings called as SWING. Swing London Session strategy take profits from every swing that happens. Open BUY when the price will shape swing-up and Open SELL when the price will shape swing-down. Target profit each transaction ranges from 20-30 pips. This target can be above 30 pips if you get a very long swing.



Because I am still new in this forum, I will not leave the youtube link about "Swing London Strategy, in this forum, if I do it, I will flag by spam and may be i will be band by the owner of this forum



For people who Interested to learn the strategi, please email me at - albertjordan1st@hotmail.com - I will send to you Video About "London Session Forex Swing Trading Strategies" that have already uploaded on youtube. The total duration of video approximately 4.5 hours and is divided into 21 video.

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EPD - Empired Limited

Empired Limited (EPD) is an IT Services Provider, ranging from business consulting to Infrastructure and Applications systems development and support. Empired delivers IT services and business technology solutions to government and private sectors throughout Australia, South East Asia and other countries.



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Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (March 30 – April 3, 2015)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:



EURUSD

Dominant bias: Bullish

EURUSD, which has been making some bullish attempt since a few weeks ago, is now above the support line at 1.0850. On the downside, there are support lines at 1.0800 and 1.0700. On the upside, there are resistance lines at 1.1000 and 1.2000. It is expected that price will oscillate between the resistance line at 1.2000 and the support line at 1.0700 in the week. Only a significant movement will make price go above that resistance line or below that support line.



USDCHF

Dominant bias: Bearish

This pair remains bearish in spite of some faint attempts by the bulls, to halt the situation. There are support levels at 0.9450 and 0.9400. There are also resistance levels at 0.9750 and 0.9800; plus price is supposed to move to and fro between the resistance level at 0.9800 and the support level at 0.9400. There must be a very strong momentum in the market before price can breach that resistance level to the upside or that support level to the downside.



GBPUSD

Dominant bias: Bearish

The movement on Cable for the last week was flat, and should the market remain flat for this week, the overall bias would turn neutral. The recent bias is bearish and the current price action shows a serious tug of war between the bull and the bear. For the price to move seriously (to go out of balance), either the bull or the bear must dominate, for price will remain flat as long as the bull and the bear appear to have equal strength. Whether this week or next week, there would be a rise in momentum, which may force the price below the accumulation territory at 1.4750 or above the distribution territory at 1.5050. However, it is more likely that Cable would rally, meaning that the expected increase in the momentum will likely favor buyers.



USDJPY

Dominant bias: Bearish

USD/JPY is currently weak. Price tested the demand level at 118.50 last week and it could even test another demand level at 118.00. However, there is a possibility that there would be a bullish breakout this week or next week, especially on an occasion of a serious weakness in Yen.



EURJPY

Dominant bias: Bullish

The bias on this cross is bullish and it may continue to be bullish on the condition that it does not go below the demand zone at 128.50. Any bullish continuation this week may enable this cross to reach the supply zones at 131.00 and 131.50. Generally, some weakness is expected in JPY (this week or next week), and this may allow some JPY pairs to rally.



This forecast is concluded with the quote below:



“The markets always offer opportunities, but to capture those opportunities, you MUST know what you are doing. If you want to trade these markets, you need to approach them as a trader, not a long-term investor.” – Dr. Ken Long

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Advice on a stock broker, anyone?

Okay I'm looking to open up as stockbroking accounts.



What I'm looking for is...



A) my money to be held in a reputable bank

B) low brokerage fees (somewhere around $10-$20 per trade)

C) no ongoing account keeping fees/charges

D) access to (free/cheap) 3rd party charting/live data/20 mins delay is ok



Other things that important to me.....



Stop losses

Ability to draw in support + resistance levels

General technical analysis

Ability to save charts etc

Availability to leverage would be good



>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>



I've looked at CMC Markets, E*Trade, CommSec but heard mixed reviews. Can can someone recommend an online broker? ........ or is there any reputable international brokerage firms say with a Singapore or Hong Kong office that any anybody here can recommend? Australian brokers seem a bit expensive - at first glance anyways.



Anyways I know I may not be able to find a broker that offers all of that.



But yeah, just Okay I'm looking to open up as stockbroking accounts.



What I'm looking for is...



A) my money to be held in a reputable bank

B) low brokerage fees (somewhere around $10-$20 per trade)

C) no ongoing account keeping fees/charges

D) access to (free/cheap) 3rd party charting/live data/20 mins delay is ok



Other things that important to me.....



Stop losses

Ability to draw in support + resistance levels

General technical analysis

Ability to save charts etc

Availability to leverage would be good



>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>



I've looked at CMC Markets, E*Trade, CommSec but heard mixed reviews. Can can someone recommend an online broker? ........ or is there any reputable international brokerage firms say with a Singapore or Hong Kong office that any anybody here can recommend? Australian brokers seem a bit expensive - at first glance anyways.



EDIT: ahhh damn just realized I posted in the wrong (sub) forum, mods move if need be - ta

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El dólar frena su avance tras la decepción del PIB de EE.UU.

Buen día;



El dólar frenó ganancias con respecto a las demás monedas principales este viernes tras conocerse que la economía estadounidense avanzó a un ritmo más lento de lo previsto durante el cuarto trimestre, lo que suscitaba nuevas preocupaciones en torno al avance de la recuperación.

Según un informe de la Oficina de Análisis Económico de Estados Unidos, el producto interior bruto de la nación ascendió un 2,2% durante el cuarto trimestre, coincidiendo con cifras preliminares aunque por debajo de las expectativas que apuntaban a una tasa de crecimiento del 2,4%.

El índice dólar, que sigue la evolución de esta moneda con respecto a una cesta de otras seis divisas principales, se mantuvo estable en el nivel de 97,63, retrocediendo con respecto a los máximos registrados al comienzo de la jornada en 98,20.

El par Eur/Usd se dejó un 0,20% hasta el nivel de 1,0864, apartándose de los mínimos de la sesión registrados en 1,0801.



Buen Trading.

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USD/CAD: veremos si consigue sujetarse en las inmediaciones del soporte de los 1,2362

Buenas Tardes:



El USD/CAD se mantiene cotizando, hoy viernes, en las inmediaciones del soporte de los 1,2362 parte baja de la banda lateral en la que se viene moviendo desde hace dos meses. Estaremos muy atentos al abandono de este nivel de precios ya que nos haría pensar en la continuación de los descensos hasta el nivel de los 1,17. Sólo veremos una señal de fortaleza con la superación de la resistencia de los 1,28 lo que nos haría pensar en una escalada de su cotización hasta el nivel de los 1,30. Esperaremos a que se defina.



Saludos :eek:

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HCT - Holista Colltech

Holista Colltech Limited (HCT) is a biotechnology company involved in the production and sale of collagen and other biomaterials from animal sources in Australia. The company produces sheep (ovine) collagen using its patented extraction methods and is on track in nano-nising and liposome encapsulating the Ovine Collagen. HCT also researchs, develops, manufactures and markets healthstyle products.



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El oro alcanza el 38.2% de Retroceso Fibonacci

El oro se ha estado cotizando al alza, el precio ha alcanzado un alto en el nivel de 1,219.79, según el marco de tiempo diario, los indicadores muestran que el par está un poco agotado, así mismo se observa el precio fue rechazado en el 38.2% de retroceso Fibonacci principal en el nivel de 1,205.00, ahora está en consolidación, pero si el precio rompe el nivel de 1,220.00, quizás veamos el oro ir al alza al nivel potencial en 1,244.00, si no lo supera podemos ver al oro ir al nivel de soporte que está alrededor del precio de 1,200.00. Los niveles de resistencia serian 1,199.94 / 1,202.29 y 1,207.33, los niveles de soporte en 1,189.09 / 1,185.97 y 1,180.93

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Reliable Binary Options System

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Get the Most Reliable Binary Options System:

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Technical Analysis DAX or GER30

Hi, please share your opinion about my analysis for this index DAX, thanks in advance

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La LIBRA/DÓLAR, MANTIENE LA CONSOLIDACIÓN DE LAS ÚLTIMAS SESIONES (gbp/uSd)

Buen día;



Nueva jornada de indecisión hoy jueves en el GBP/USD y son ya seis consecutivas. Por el momento se mantiene la figura alcista del pasado miércoles por no que no descartamos la aparición de una señal de fortaleza que nos haga pensar en un rebote de su serie de precios. Mientras que no veamos un cierre por debajo de los 1,4631 pensaremos en la continuación de las subidas para las próximas sesiones. Estaremos muy pendientes de un próximo ataque a los 1,5552 cuya superación nos haría pensar en una recuperación de su maltrecho aspecto técnico.



Buen Trading.

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EUR/USD: atacando la resistencia de los 1,1040

Buenas Tardes:



Hoy jueves hemos podido ver un ataque del EUR/USD a la resistencia de los 1,1040. Estaremos muy atentos a un cierre por encima de este nivel de precios ya que nos haría pensar en una extensión de las ganancias hasta el nivel de los 1,15. Sólo la superación de este nivel de resistencia nos invitaría a ver una recuperación mayor de su serie de precios. Por debajo vigilaremos su comportamiento en los 1,0461 ya que si los abandonara podríamos ver unos descensos hasta la paridad.



Saludos :eek:

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5 Stars Forex

Company Profile (Background)

5StarsForex is a leading provider of online trading services. Established in 2014, 5StarsForex is providing traders a world-class trading experience worldwide.

5StarsForex provides it’s traders with personalized Forex training programs, Dealing Room specialists, the best Introducing Brokers and Partners Programs with innovative and competitive Partners offerings. 5StarsFores provides it’s traders with the best spreads in the whole market, the fastest execution possible, the best bonuses and promotions among all other brokers, fast deposits and withdraws, and many more qualities traders enjoy with 5StarsForex.

5starsForex believes that the ECN/STP Forex Module benefits all the foreign exchange participants, 5StarsForex worked hard in the making the world of Forex more transparent with greater control for the traders.

5StarsForex have multiple liquidity providers and built solid relationship with some of the world’s largest banks and financial institutions to make our clients benefit from competitive Forex spreads even during volatile markets and news release.



Trading Software

5Stars Forex platform is based on the excellent and highly-regarded MetaTrader4, and comes with all the advanced features of the software which make a wealth of analytical options available with the highest degree of customizability and simplicity of design.

• Meta Trader 4

• Tablet

• Mobile











Deposits and Withdrawals



The minimum initial deposit requirement of 5Stars Forex is $100. Maximum leverage is 1:500 always keep in mind that the higher the leverage, the greater the risk. In addition to the possibility of immediate deposits and withdrawals through popular credit cards, the broker accepts wire transfers and also facilitates funding through

• Bank wire,

• Credit card,

• Online payment options

 Sofort banking,

 web money ,

 Skrill monyBookers,

 neteller,

 Perfect money,

 Fasa pay,

 Payza,

 Moneypolo,

 Yandex Money

 Payeer

 PayCo

 TrustPay

 Solid trustpay

 Qiwi Wallet

 PoliPexPay, ecoPayz, Ukash

 PayWizard

Clients can withdraw funds with no paperwork delaying the process although it can take up to Three days for the money to be transferred.







Become 5Stars Forex Partner

• Tailor Made Commissions or CPA

• $30 Per traded lot or CPA

• Invite friend program



Refer a Friend

Benefit From Your Friends While They Benefit From You.

At 5StarsForex we know that the best way to grow our trading community is by giving our Traders the best tools to succeed in the markets. That’s why we give you the possibility to earn more cash by referring your friends and family. These bonuses will go directly to your account!



Just open an account and you will be eligible to start referring your friends and family!



Benefits

• Excellent Educational Content

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• Extraordinary Technical Analysis Charts

• Outstanding Tools to analyze Market Tendency

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Hi. Im Edward.

Hi. Iwonder whot it Bid and Ask? and which price is shown on platform. Bid or Ask?Thanks

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GAP - Gale Pacific

Gale Pacific Limited (GAP) is a marketer and manufacturer of screening and shading products for domestic, commercial and industrial applications with operations in Australia, New Zealand, the USA, Middle East and China. GAP operates two businesses: Commercial Synthesis brand; and Retail - Coolaroo, Zone and Highgrove Glass Solutions brands.



http://ift.tt/1ycUVDt

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FFI - FFI Holdings

FFI Holdings Limited (FFI) engages in the processing, manufacture, packaging and distribution of food products for the Australian industrial, wholesale and retail markets. The food operations are based entirely in Australia and are marketed under four brands which are: Chocolate Products of Australia, Prepact, Fresh Food Industries and Tradition Smallgoods. In addition, The Company also engages in the development and sale of land held for investment purposes.



http://ift.tt/1M4Khdr

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Share Express Pty Ltd

Has anyone heard of or used the services of Share Express

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P/E ratios and fair value

Need some clarification on analysing whether a stock is too expensive for current PE ratio



Example:

Current PE: 60

Current price of stock: $2

EPS current: $0.02



Here is where I started dabbling - please correct if I'm wrong

Price to be neutral: Current PE * EPS current = $1.20



Question: Does that mean that if stock drops to $1.20, then it would be fair value (neither bargain nor too expensive to buy)

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Choose 30 Stocks to trade with a low invest $200

Deposit $200 and you will get $300, then you can buy your 30 favorite stocks, $10 for every one.



Start NOW¡¡¡

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IEQ - International Equities Corporation

International Equities Corporation Limited (IEQ) is an Australian based company involved in property development, tourism, and leasing rental property.



http://ift.tt/1LXNfQZ

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OEQ - Orion Equities

Orion Equities Limited (OEQ) is an Australian Listed Investment Company (LIC) with the majority of its funds invested in a portfolio of listed Australian and international companies and Australian property.



http://ift.tt/1FFG644

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PLS - Pilbara Minerals

Pilbara Minerals Limited (PLS) is a minerals exploration and mining company with a sole focus on the Pilbara region of Western Australia.



The Company is an emerging Tantalite producer from its Tabba Tabba Tantalite project which is a 50/50 Joint Venture with leading metallurgical and process engineering group Nagrom. Tabba Tabba is located 75km south of Port Hedland.



http://ift.tt/1HDJLws

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Las señales del par USDJPY apuntan al alza: 2 estrategias de compra

Buen día;



La Estrella Fugaz diaria en los máximos de este mes en el par dólar/yen (USDJPY) nos ha indicado una toma de beneficios en forma de pullback temporal. No obstante, los compradores han vuelto al mercado el martes en la media móvil de 50 sesiones, una recuperación cotizando con un pequeño martillo diario. Esto es positivo y las señales apuntan al alza.



Compraríamos en caídas, así como en ruptura de los máximos de esta semana.



Por lo tanto compramos en 119,40, la media móvil de 50 sesiones o comprar en 120,23, máximo de esta semana. El stop a tener en cuenta: 119,14, la media móvil de 50 sesiones o en 119,90; para ir a buscar los objetivos de: 120,77, apertura del viernes y 120,92, tendencia bajista diaria.



Buen Trading.

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Previsión Euro Dólar: levemente alcista, el nivel de 1.1000 sigue siendo clave

Buenas Tardes:



El par EUR/USD vio cierta demanda limitada con la apertura europea, avanzando hasta 1.0973, pero con el alza limitada, a pesar de las cifras positivas de la encuesta IFO de Alemania: el índice del clima de negocio superó el consenso en Marzo aumentando desde un 106.8 en febrero a un 107.9, un máximo de 8 meses. Los inversores están preocupados ya que no se ha llegado aún a ningún acuerdo de rescate con Grecia y el país, una vez más, se está quedando sin dinero. Además, circulan rumores sobre la posibilidad de que el BCE esté considerando limitar la capacidad de los bancos griegos de comprar deuda a corto plazo de los bonos del Tesoro, aumentando los temores de un default en el problemático país.



Sin embargo, el cuadro técnico intradiario sigue favoreciendo la tendencia alcista, con el precio por encima de una SMA de 20 fuertemente alcista y los indicadores técnicos recuperando el impulso alcista en terreno positivo. La resistencia inmediata sigue siendo la zona de precio de 1.1000, con un interés de compra renovado por encima del nivel probablemente apuntando a una nueva prueba en 1.1040, máximo de este mes. Si el precio se extiende por encima de este último nivel, lo siguiente sería una aproximación al nivel de 1.1100.



Saludos :eek:

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TFX Markets - Solid Broker?

Hi all,



I got a recommendation for TFX Markets, an ECN broker using Eqinix LD4.



After reviewing the conditions, I can see that the conditions are good, I've run a few test orders and execution speeds are good, a few milliseconds.



What I am attracted to is the ECN rebate, "get a 0.3 pips Rebate for every trade you make on your true ECN Forex Account". As my FX robot is good for making volumes (sometimes profits too) I am really interested in this offer.



Before investing, can anyone offer any feedback or recommendation. If not, I will carry on with the small amount and update you.



Thanks



Andy

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LICs and NTA Trap question

So for those who know about LICs, they are valued based on the NTA per share, and then the stock price is either trading at a premium or a discount.



So if you're investing in LICs, you want to buy at a discount to NTA. In a market such as currently which would be argued as expensive, this makes the NTA of these LICs go up because their share holdings have more value right?



So if the stock price of these LICs hasn't gone up with the rest of the market hypothetically, and they were now trading at a discount to NTA simply because of the rise of their stockholdings, could the current NTA be sort of a trap due to the expensive market in general? I mean in an overvalued market, their NTA would rise and could surpass their stock price, so it could give an illusion of being a discount to NTA, when the NTA is actually just overvalued by the market.



Am I accurate in this assessment? Seems to me that buying at a discount has the condition of buying when the market is not overvalued as it is currently.

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A Break from the Norm

Breaking free from the usually dreary and cryptic anthology… welcoming entertaining, simple, easily-understood and provocative poetry…



See three samples below:







(65) VACANCIES



An applicant called today

Dressed well but looked hopeless

Credentials filled his bag,

But he left as he came.



Vacancies in newspapers,

Vacancies on posters,

Vacancies on the web,

Vacancies on the air.



Vacancies that do not exist,

Vacancies have been filled,

Vacancies from fraudsters

That hoodwink the helpless.



The use of long arms,

Or the use of connections,

Or the use of kickbacks

Is not always effective.



Passing exams is battle,

Going to college is war,

Getting good jobs is futile,

And some jobs need no degrees.



An applicant called today

But his objective failed.

He left only papers,

Will he go on like this?



Ben Alani (November 2007)









(105) SOLDIER ANTS



…We shall all enemies batter,

…we shall all obstacles scatter,

…we shall all do that matter,

…we shall make our ranks fatter

For our future gather

The food-gathering for generation latter

There are many reasons to gather

Tomorrow may be nothing but water,

And many humans madder

So, to bite them, we are gladder –

With a million teeth harder.

Explore for a safer haven

Meanwhile a myriad

Insect and animals fall prey,

To our battalions and commandos –

…And we shall make our ranks fatter,

…we shall all do that matter,

…we shall all obstacles scatter,

…we shall all enemies batter,

…we shall all enemies batter,

…we shall all obstacles scatter,

…we shall all do that matter,

…And we shall make our ranks fatter.

For our future gather

Till there’s nothing for human madder

Our ranks move forward

Ruthless reckless restless

As we search the Promised Land,

Ruthless reckless restless

As we act with one accord

Ruthless reckless restless

As our youngs’ future counts

Ruthless reckless restless

As our adversaries scramble –

…And we shall make our ranks fatter,

…we shall all do that matter,

…we shall all obstacles scatter,

…we shall all enemies batter.



(Ben Alani, 2009)









(107) A BUFFALO DIES IN A TOWN



A buffalo dies in a town

Where there’s no knife

To those who know not their values

Opportunities flash themselves



A buffalo dies in a town

Where there’s a need for meat

By they don’t recognize that

The dead buffalo is a bundle of meat –

Opportunities come as a curse

Peace often disguises as disappointments

Prevention from worst experiences comes as delays



A buffalo dies in a town

Where they prefer to look for meat in the desert

Acres of diamonds – acres of diamonds

What we have we never appreciate



A buffalo dies in a town

Where it’s left to rot and waste

We take no advantage of opportunities



A buffalo dies in a town

Where residents are complacent and sluggish

On the other side the grass is always greener

Conwell’s Acres of Diamonds! – There’s no pity

For the rich man’s child

Who’s overpampered and ungrateful

To create wealth is better

Than to inherit it



A buffalo dies in a town

Where things are taken for granted

But tough times make people

Tough, self-reliant and resilient

More than being garrulous and loquacious

Actions do matter

Strengthening those persevering

On the earth

The courage to face the odds

In the world

And prove themselves by their effort.



(Ben Alani, 2009)





The rest of the 108 poems can be seen here:

A Break From the Norm:

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Scalping Regulated Nadex 5 Minute Binary Options

Nadex is available to "north american" clients, but of course,

worldwide, Binary Options are a huge opportunity for traders

who have precision analytics, over short term time horizons,

as the specialized HyperScalper platform offers.



Here is a video I made discussing Nadex's version of

Binary Options scalping. (How could 5 minutes be considered

anything other than scalping !!!???)



http://ift.tt/1CVL38i



So the main point is that success in any Binary Options

Trading ( or, indeed, any trading at all !! ) is critically

dependent upon precise and accurate Analytics which

are "appropriate" to the timeframes over which you

will be trading, or scalping.



Hope you enjoy, and you can contact me for an

honest and frank discussion here, as to whether this

might be something for your circumstances:



hyperscalper@gmail.com



http://hyperscalper.com



Good Trading !!



HyperScalper

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Any Pitfalls of Backtesting???

HI everyone. I have EA. And i tried to backtest it. The results were amasing. The profit was great. But this is too good to be true. Im confused. I dont know if i shud trust this results and go to...

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My Forex Strategies

Hello, if you are searching for some inspiration how to create/improve your trading system, maybe you can find something in my Forex Strategies collection.

Hope it helps someone :)

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TTA - TTA Holdings

TTA Holdings Limited (TTA) is the holding company of TEAC Australia engaged in the distribution of TEAC branded audio and visual consumer electronics products in Australia. TEAC's head office is located in Thomastown, Victoria.



http://ift.tt/1BgOO22

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¿Hay oportunidad para estar largos en el EURUSD?

Buen día;



El par euro/dólar (EURUSD) ha empujado hacia nuevos máximos locales esta mañana y tocó niveles de 1,1000 ya que el euro ha estado fuerte en todos los ámbitos.



Por el momento, el mercado especulativo está fuertemente corto en euro. Un dato positivo de los PMI en Europa podrían aumentar el interés de compra en los activos de riesgo europeos.



Habría que vigilar si los datos de IPC salen en línea o por encima de lo esperado hoy, ya que podría revertir el último movimiento y la liquidez podría ser bastante pobre.



Buscaríamos comprar en este nivel de ruptura con un stop por debajo de 1,0940 de cara a buscar el mínimo del antiguo ciclo cerca de 1,1100 desde enero.





Buen Trading.

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Broker Offers A Massive 400% Bonus!!

Make Your Money Go Further on Every Deposit!



Invest up to $25,000, Use on Every Deposit, Tradeable as Equity, Bonus is Redeemable, No Swap Rate (No Overnight Premiums), Low Spreads and Leverage up to 500:1



Register for an account. Deposit funds. Receive 400% bonus immediately to trade. http://ow.ly/KHeDn







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Atentos a un rebote en el corto plazo para la Libra/Dolar

Buenas Tardes:



Por el momento se mantiene la buena señal del pasado miércoles en el GBP/USD. Mientras que no veamos un cierre por debajo de los 1,4631 pensaremos en la continuación de las subidas para las próximas sesiones. Estaremos muy pendientes de un próximo ataque a los 1,5552 cuya superación nos haría pensar en una recuperación de su maltrecho aspecto técnico.



Saludos :eek:

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ABW - Aurora Absolute Return Fund

The investment strategy of the Aurora Absolute Return Fund (ABW) aims to achieve an income return, whilst seeking to preserve the capital of the Fund over both rising and falling equity markets. The pursuit of a diverse range of investments means that the Fund’s returns are not necessarily dependent on the stock market’s direction, or dependent on any specific assumption or key market parameter. The Fund does not seek to replicate the standard industry benchmarks.



http://ift.tt/1Cmb3HK

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ASP - Aspermont Limited

Aspermont Limited (ASP) is an Australian media company that provides Business to Business (B2B) information services, across the resource and construction sectors, delivered through print, conferencing and online media channels. ASP also ventured into the consumer market with Business to Consumer (B2C) publications. ASP also provides additional service offerings, including industry specific search engines, archives and directories, tailored editorial facilities and graphic design capability.



http://ift.tt/1Cmb3rm

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AMH - AMCIL Limited

AMCIL Limited (AMH) is an equity investment company investing in Australia and New Zealand, focusing on a concentrated portfolio approach but across the broader market.



http://www.amcil.com.au

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Lump sum superannuation payments for retirees could end

I won't hold my breath for this to happen given the grey vote but we'll see:



Australians entering retirement will most likely be stopped from taking their superannuation as a lump sum and will have to access it through a structured self-funded pension, a top Treasury official says.



Treasury executive director and chief operating officer John Lonsdale signalled that recommendations from the financial system inquiry put forward to overhaul superannuation are likely to be adopted.



Read more: http://ift.tt/1GbL6fJ

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Don't fall into the 90's day trader traps

Read our latest free blog piece about staying out of the tech bubble traps of old as a modern fx trader. Seeing it everyday.http://ift.tt/1zpICZp

Also see our services page for inexpensive help from a professional trading desk.

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Session template for ETH and RTH on NT

Just wondering if any one can tell me how I can plot the O/H/L/C of the RTH and the H/L of the ETH on a ETH session template. I read on the NT forum that I could possibly divide the sessions into two and then the indicator could plot them seperately.



ATM i can plot it on an ETH session but it doesn't differentiate between TRH and ETH.



Thanks in advance.

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Las señales del USDJPY apuntan a un pullback temporal

Buen día;



El precio de la acción de la semana pasada fue dominado por una fuerte caída el miércoles (de más de 2 grandes figuras). Aunque los mínimos no se mantuvieron, con los compradores por encima de la media móvil de 50 sesiones, el rally del jueves fue totalmente revertido por nuevas ventas durante el último día de la semana pasada. Aquellos movimientos, unido a un patrón de Estrella Fugaz bajista desde el 10 de marzo, que no fue negado, mantuvo el sentimiento negativo.



Por lo tanto la estrategia que vamos a llevar a cabo, vendemos a mercado y repuntes a 120,77 (apertura del viernes); con stop en 121,52 (máximo de la semana pasada); para ir a buscar objetivos en = 118,61, la base de 4 semanas y niveles de 117,47, apertura de hace 7 semanas.





Buen Trading.

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EUR/USD: se mantiene el rebote del corto plazo

Se mantiene la figura para un rebote vista la semana pasada en el EUR/USD. A corto plazo estaremos muy atentos a la superación de la resistencia de los 1,1096 lo que nos haría pensar en una extensión de las ganancias hasta el nivel de los 1,15. Sólo la superación de este nivel de resistencia nos invitaría a ver una recuperación mayor de su serie de precios. No obstante hay que ser muy prudentes y vigilar su comportamiento en los 1,0461 ya que si los abandonara podríamos ver unos descensos hasta la paridad.



Saludos :eek:

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Brutal lessons: Expectancy and Risk

Over Christmas I digested a few trend following investment books. I found the O'Neil CANSLIM bible to be very interesting, particularly the lessons on entering on reduced volatility pullbacks and relative strength metrics across the market and higher timeframes (weekly with daily).



Following on similar themes,and again very useful and interesting, was Minervini "Trade Like a Stock Market Wizard". Perhaps a bit too much hype at times, but I found myself re-reading his section on risk over and over. Now I've read (and thought I understood) the need for risk control, stops and what Brooks calls "a positive trader's equation". Minervini seemed to get through to me where others have failed.



The penny dropped one day when I realised I was making a fundamental beginners probability error. If you have 3 winning trades interspersed with 3 losing trades, each winning and losing the same amount (say 50%) you end up even? WRONG, of course! The probability for each event is multiplied not added. If you lose 50%, it takes more than 50% to get that back.



Minervini firmly recommended a value of 7.5% maximum risk, particularly for traders with less than 50% winning trades (he calls this the "batting average"). Wanting to explore this further I did a series of spreadsheet pages on what happens when you have 10 consecutive trades with increasing probabilities of gain and loss.



Below is a plot for 2:1 win/loss for "batting averages" from 25% to 55%. Total predicted return after 10 trades is on the Y Axis in %. The optimal return after 10 trades is not intuitive (to me!). Minervini is quite right to suggest trend trading beginners, frequently only achieving 40-45% batting averages, should stringently aim for losses to never exceed 7.5% - which easily ends up at 10% in real life.



Similar plots are possible of course for different win/loss ratios - this is only a summary for the specific situation of win/loss = 2. I'd be happy to put the spreadsheet up for general reference and people to check if all this babble interests anyone! :o





The take home lesson for me is what experienced traders have learned the hard way and know intuitively - and try to bang into our beginner heads all the times! That is, stringently contain your losses, but aim to let your winners run (or at least regularly exceed losses).





Expectancy and Risk two to one win loss ratio.jpg

Attached Images

• Expectancy and Risk two to one win loss ratio.jpg (46.7 KB)

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Complete system (broker/charting software/data) suggestions

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I would like to trade stocks online and there are so many choices available. To do what I want I belive I need the following:



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thanks again everyone.

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EUR/USD

what is your expectation for EUR/USD pair??

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GREECE v EUROGROUP...still going

ANGELA MERKEL WAS OVERHEARD SAYING

“MARIO, PASS ME THAT BOTTLE OF OUZO AND JEROEN STOP PIGGING ON THE TZATZIKI”





Yes, you guessed it – Mr. Casual aka Alexis Tsipras the Greece prime minister was back in Brussels having “off-site” emergency talks with the Eurogroup regarding the Greek bailout.



This long running saga is really like a west-end farce, in fact it’s now so long running i think that it challenges Agatha Christies “the mousetrap” that had a phenomenal continuous run in the London theatre. I cannot remember how many weeks it ran for but the Greek story, god love them, is starting to wear me down. Is it any wonder that Mario Draghi is consuming raki, ouzo and retsina faster than Jeroen Dijsselbloem can say his own surname!



Enough is enough.



I firmly believe that the only reason that the Eurogroup is entertaining “no tie” is because they want to ensure an orderly Grexit from the single currency. A disorderly Grexit would place a massive stress on the ECB and the Bundesbank.



In an interesting twist however, on Friday the EU commission president, Jean-Claude Junker released €2 billion on humanitarian grounds to help the Greek government deal with the crisis in the country that is affecting the poor and the hardest hit by the financial crisis.



Wouldn’t you just think…



Austerity did not work; it is still not working and refinancing the Greek debt is just avoiding a default. No matter what is done, the Eurogroup policy on Greece, with or without the IMF (international monetary fund) hooked into the deal along with the ECB to form the Trioka to make it look like a wider base of support and aid was going to fail before it even started.



The Germans are at fault in my opinion. Schauble is a loose cannon that fires up high emotions. Culturally, the Germans and the Greek peoples are worlds apart.



The bartering process that “no tie” is in at the moment is a normal Mediterranean way of negotiation, and, whether you believe he has no bargaining chips at all it is totally irrelevant. To Northern Europeans, like Merkel, Hollande, Diijsselbloem and Donald Tusk from Poland who chairs the Eurogroup summits who quite frankly cannot understand why “no tie” will not move his position, it causes them to become exasperated and dig in their heels. They believe and maybe quite rightly in their eyes that enough is enough and its our way or the highway. This is pure and simple cultural divergence.



Tsipras (no tie), knows that the Eurozone banks, many of them German and French have lots of €€€€€€ hanging around the Greece financial sector. This is the backdrop and sword of Damocles hanging over the negotiations. “no tie” fully knows the fragile economy that exists across the Eurozone would be thrown into turmoil if a disorderly Grexit were to happen. In the background there is the fear of the Greek government running out of money, but would it actually happen?



Think outside the box. Both Russia and China would love to get a foothold in the area for many reasons, not just political. Humanitarian grounds would be the sales pitch should either of these nations offer emergency financing.



Greece needs debt relief.



The Eurogroup needs to suck it up and provide a “cash back” deal to Portugal, Ireland, Cyprus etc. In fact, any country that has effectively had a bailout of one sort or another from the Eurogroup since the 2008-9 crash.



It is so straightforward – if they do nothing they risk another financial crash, another run on the banks, negative growth deflation….. This list can go on for pages.



Suck it up….



For once; do not kick yet another can down the road.



Whatever words are written on a Greek blueprint for economic reforms moving forward may as well be on paper supplied by tom cruise’s bosses in mission impossible, it will self destruct 30 minutes after signature and the monies are transferred. If the Greeks could not reform before, gather taxes before, or manage the books before on the previous two bailouts why is it going to work this time. They are more in debt now than when they first came to the table looking for help years ago. It is so sad for Greece that they were sold a lemon.



Austerity was not the way. It has not worked, and for Germany to continue down this road with the same old same old is complete and utter bollo**s. There are 19 countries using the single currency, 19 vastly different cultures that approach all aspects of life and business from a different perspective. One size does not fit all.



These are high stakes. It has taken Mario Draghi at the ECB years to create some stability. This is the ultimate risk. The credibility of the German approach, i would say stubborn approach. They appear totally intransigent to an alternative.



I am not saying that the U.S. approach was brilliant, quite frankly it made fat cats fatter and moved wall street poles apart from main street. The poor are poorer and the rich are richer as result of the fed approach in the USA. Poverty is simply swept under the carpet. However, the Ben Bernanke approach was so supportive to the financial markets (ex. Lehman brothers) that stability and credibility were restored in very good time. Granted, it is still a fragile economy and the economic data shows this. If everything in the garden was “peachy”, interest rates in the U.S. would be at 0.5% by now… they are not.



By comparison, and it is hard to compare, as many American commentators some who have been around for years, such as Joe Kernan on CNBC, simply do not understand that the Eurozone area consists of 28 countries, 19 of these use the € (single currency) plus there are a number of principalities that have monetary agreements like Andorra and Monaco.



The USA despite its dysfunctionality is one country. The Eurozone is not. It is like comparing apples and pears.



The fed has an easier job than the ECB - these are basic facts, clear and unambiguous and should be noted when a glib comment is made on U.S. TV by some commentator, pundit or analyst who probably couldn’t even tell you where Greece is on a map.



I digress….



The stakes are incredibly high and reputations are on the line in Brussels. My fear is that the “can” is being prepared as i type.



I fear that if a fudged solution is found we will definitely be back at point zero again within a year, with the same issues, same problems, maybe different players around the table.



For once… can the Eurogroup just suck it up and move on doing what is right for the Greek people not the damn politicians. If business people were managing this from day one we would not be in this mess now.

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Historical Market P/E

I was just wondering if there are free resources for historical P/E of the ASX 200?

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Flash Crash of USD, thoughts?

“On March 18, 2015 between 4:02 and 4:09 PM Eastern Daylight Time, the U.S. Dollar flash crashed, losing over 3% of its value in just under 4 minutes, then gaining most of it back over the next 3 minutes. This event occurred 4 minutes after the regular session of stock market trading closed on the NYSE and Nasdaq at 4 PM (16:00). Two hours earlier, at 2 PM, was the widely anticipated and watched Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) event. A quarter of a second after the initial 2 PM announcement, the U.S. stock market exploded higher. At the same time, the U.S. Dollar moved sharply lower, setting up conditions for the flash crash 2 hours later.” taken from



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I have yet to see anyone provide a good explanation of what happened. anyone got some thoughts on it?

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Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (March 23 - 27, 2015)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:



EURUSD

Dominant bias: Bullish

Without events, there cannot be history. The even that happened last week shows that EUR may not reach parity with USD soon. In fact, it is no longer rational to seek short trades on this pair, for the outlook on it has already turned bullish. As it was mentioned in the past analyses, the great support line at 1.0500 did a good job in preventing further southward plunge in the market, and since then price has skyrocketed by more than 300 pips. The bullish spike on Wednesday, March 18, 2015, was the strongest – in which price shot upward by over 450 pips in a single day, and later got corrected downwards. The support lines at 1.0700 and 1.0600 should do a good job in frustrating the efforts of the bears while price could go further upwards gradually this week.



USDCHF

Dominant bias: Bearish

As it was expected, only a strong rally in EURUSD was able to bring about the reversal in USDCHF, and that is exactly what happened? The former rallied, the latter dipped. The former got corrected lower, the latter bounced upward; and vice versa. There is now a clean Bearish Confirmation Pattern on the USDCHF, and price may reach the support levels at 0.9700 and 0.9600 this week.



GBPUSD

Dominant bias: Bearish

What happened here last week has posed a formidable challenge to the recent bearish bias. Cable was nearly replicating what EURUSD was doing; making price actions on the two markets look nearly similar. After all, both pairs are positively correlated. The expected movement on Cable this week should be favorable to the bulls, for the market would continue its upwards journey towards the distribution territories at 1.5050 and 1.5150. By then, the bias would have turned completely bullish.



USDJPY

Dominant bias: Bearish

The incipient selling pressure on this currency trading instrument has made it become weak. Price can test the demand levels at 119.50 and 119.00, but it is unlikely that it would breach those demand levels to the downside because there is a high probability that this instrument may rally this week.



EURJPY

Dominant bias: Bearish

Although the bias on this cross is bearish, the bias has almost been rendered invalid. Last week, the general movement on this cross was bullish, enabling price to close above the demand zone at 129.50. The market can move upwards by more than 150 pips this week: an action that would be the final blow for the currently precarious bearish bias.



This forecast is concluded with the quote below:





“The search for low-risk trading ideas has always been the most important task for traders and investors. That hasn’t changed much. The main goal is to find situations where rewards exceed risks considerably.” – Gabriel Grammatidis

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