EHE - Estia Health

EHE is in the same aged care/retirement home business as REG and AOG (as examples) and both of these stocks have done very well over the past few months. This gives me a little more confidence in EHE as a possible break out trade, not that I needed that as the chart looks good in its own right.



EHE.jpg

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To trade full time or not

Thoughts and tips from twenty years of trading for a living.http://ift.tt/1zpICZp

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Huge spike in volume - why?

What would be a likely cause of the volume spike on the 21th November 2014?



There is an announcement on that date but would that be the contributing factor for the huge spike?

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• syr_ax01oct14_to_02jun15.jpg (127.2 KB)

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Hedge Funds Advice Please

Hey guys,

I was lying in bed after doing some research throughout the night into hedge funds and quant funds. I could not help myself getting out of bed and making this post to seek some advise from the more experienced.



After much thought, I thought to myself that investing in Hedge Funds and REITs would probably presented less risk than stock picking (for me anyway). I had made some bad calls throughout my life and I have come to a realisation that I should allocate majority of my investment capital towards funds. Although, I will still pick stocks but perhaps only allocate a small % to play with to gather experience and minimise risk.



I am 27 years old now. My question is, is it worth getting into Hedge Funds with amounts such as 10K spread across perhaps 3 different funds (and sectors) and allowing the amounts to compound over 10-15 years? I like the idea of hedge funds providing consistent returns even during bear trends. I realise some funds have min investments of up to 500K, although there are some good ones that I found that require 10K and 25K respectfully.



Any advise on this matter would be greatly appreciated.



Thanks in advance.



Regards,



Kash

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El suelo visto en el oro, el dilema de los inversores

Buen día;



La mayoría de las materias primas han tenido pocos amigos en el ring en los últimos 12 meses, mientras los metales preciosos parece que han establecido un suelo de soporte durante los últimos cinco meses.



Para el oro, el suelo se sitúa en los 1.150 dólares por onza, lo que sitúa al inversor en un dilema ya que estos mínimos podrían marcar la base del soporte del mercado desde la que podría establecerse una fase alcista.



No obstante, también podría representar una línea en la arena que en caso de que se rompa, se creará un nuevo canal correctivo que anunciará una capitulación final y bastante agresiva.



En el 3T creo que la dirección general de la economía y las acciones en el mercado de Estados Unidos demostrará ser alcista. Por eso voy a comenzar una breve estrategia en el oro:



Vendemos en 1.179,70 dólares por onza Troy; stop en 1.245.-dolares. La búsqueda de objetivos en: 1.142…1.100…1.078…1.039 dólares.



Buen Trading.

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El euro cae más de un 1% ante la precaria situación de Grecia

Buenas Tardes:



El euro retrocedió más de un 1% con respecto al dólar y al yen este martes, aún lastrado por el enfrentamiento entre Grecia y sus acreedores sobre el acuerdo de restructuración de la deuda.

El par EUR/USD registró mínimos en 1,0714, su cota más baja desde el 20 de marzo y si situó en 1,0722, con un retroceso del 1,02 en el conjunto de la jornada.



La caída del euro se produce después de que Grecia no fuera capaz de llegar a un acuerdo con sus acreedores sobre el programa de reformas económicas el lunes. Atenas se quedará sin dinero este mes a no ser que llegue a un arreglo con los prestamistas a tiempo de desbloquear más fondos de rescate.



La moneda única se ha visto sometida a una gran presión de ventas desde que el Banco Central Europeo implementara este mes su programa de expansión cuantitativa por valor de un billón de euros dirigido a volver a acercar los tipos de interés al objetivo fijado en niveles inferiores aunque próximos al 2%.



Saludos :eek:

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Easy Forex Ltd

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China plans to create new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank

Quote:

---

WHEN people try to pinpoint the start of a ‘new world order’ they could look to March 2015.



This week, Australia announced it would sign on to China’s plans to create a new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank to rival global institutions like the World Bank and International Monetary Fund.



But far from being some boring economic plan, the bank — which aims to address the $8 trillion infrastructure gap and provide $100 billion for new roads, bridges and ports in Asian economies — could usher in a new phase of regional influence for China without US involvement.



UNSW’s Institute of Global Finance director Fariborz Moshirian said China’s massive foreign exchange reserves and desire for more power have driven Beijing’s plan.



“China is trying to use economic muscle and also in a sense it’s a reaction to the Bretton Woods institutions like the IMF and World Bank. They are seen as US and European children and China wants to make their own mark.”

“It’s sort of a byproduct of the rise of the financial strength of China ... We’re going to see more of this kind of influence because China can afford now to take part of this kind of activity.”

---

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Thoughts?



I wouldn't have thought it'd be that easy to just create another IMF? Is this why China has been hoarding gold all this time?

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Profitable EA for Forex Trader

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This EA must be OFF in all high impact red news. Non Farm, FOMC etc etc... In the ranging market, its better. Need VPS for run this..

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Low risk, perfect as diversification of portfolio, average 20% per year, responsibly

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20 years experience in the financial business.

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IronFX.com

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Best Trading Platform

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Just Another Investment Journey

Hello all,



My first post, please be gentle. I would like to start documenting my investment journey along with others who have started doing it on this forum. Historically I have dabbled with stocks, CFDs (forex, commodities, indices, foreign stocks), hedge funds, mutual funds, index funds and ETFs. I have found that I suck when using leverage and perform better when I don’t have to worry about any margin calls. I also haven't performed too well in other financial assets and have decided to just stick with stocks for the time being.



My strategy is centralized around large capital high dividend stocks which shows the power of dividends along with a moderate buy and hold strategy, details below:



• ASX 20 stocks universe.

• Must have increased dividend each year for the past 3 years and also forecast consecutive dividend increases each year for the next 2-3 years.

• Sort by highest dividend yielding stocks (taking into account franking credits).

• Pick the stocks whose dividend yields provide a ratio of approximately 1.75 or greater versus that of the nearest cash deposit rate (currently UBank @ 3.77%).

• Average dividend growth rate should be greater than CPI.



Note that these are just guides that I follow personally which may change depending on economic conditions, interest rates, etc.



My current portfolio:

performance.jpg



The P/L does not include dividend returns (as I do not participate in DRPs).



Basically this is a modified version of the Dogs of the Dow strategy that takes into account dividend growth and a risk premium vs current interest rates.



My personal philosophy behind this strategy:

• Only large cap stocks because prices of these stocks are supported by index funds and ETFs that have to follow certain guidelines and rules.

• I prefer dividends as my main source of return on investment versus share buybacks or retained earnings (reinvestment back into the company) because I feel that there is a certain element of market timing (which I also suck at) in order to realize profits with the latter.

• If you look at Forbes billionaires list, the top 10 are always filled with people who own companies/stocks (except George Soros). Not with people who got rich through property, trading commodities, forex, bonds, etc.



Stocks were bought during 01/14 – 03/14 while VAF was bought ~1 month ago.



If current economic conditions stays the same, will re-organize my portfolio next financial year (due to tax incentives) into CBA, NAB, ANZ, WES, BHP & RIO.



Will see how far ahead (or behind) I will get vs the ASX Accumulation Index using this strategy...



Cheers.

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Regulatory changes and the trader. Pain and opportunity

http://ift.tt/1zpICZp Do your homework so the changes become opportunity not adversity.

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My Technicals Analysis

I want to share all my technical analysis with all of you and I really appreciate all your comments and opinions, thanks in advance.



Link to my blogs: Click HERE

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UNION…. WHAT UNION? (IT’S ALL ABOUT TRUST BUT THERE ISN’T ANY)

In my opinion, the European Economic Community (EEC) now called the European Union (EU) in my opinion is flawed in many ways. I have covered this topic many times before and I do not want to go over old ground, if it really interests you, you can check out all the historical blogs on my website.



The original idea of the EEC was “free trade” to compete with EFTA (The European Free Trade Association). This I agree with.



What I cannot get my head around was all the talk years and years ago about: -



Currency Union

Economic Union

Banking Union

Tax Harmonization Union

Foreign Policy Union

Social and Welfare Union (The Social Chapter)

Agricultural / Production Quota Harmonization



Well… we have the currency union and that's a screw up.



Where are the rest? ….



Like I have said before: -



19 countries using the same chequebook does not work

It then becomes all about trust

A Central Bank (ECB) is a great idea but all country central banks are then in straight jackets unable to act independently.

So many different cultures in a meeting = no agreements



I can extend this list. The above is a poor recipe for problem solving. Not that politicians are problem solvers in any case, they are more like blame attributers.



Ask yourself, when has the Eurozone ever agreed on anything? Yes, I thought for a while and couldn’t come up with anything.



A great example of a union… not!!



Born out of a desire of France and Germany to work closer together on a broad range of subjects it really has flattered to deceive.



There is no trust in the Eurozone that's why it is what it is and that is why it is where it is…it defers all decisions by kicking cans down the road.



The only business to benefit since the inception of the Eurozone in my opinion is the hospitality industry. The amount of meetings in Brussels with Eurozone leaders and/or Finance ministers is overwhelming; sales of cheese, pate and fine wines are through the roof.



About a month ago the new Greek government formed by the Syriza party came to power on the back of a manifesto promising changes to the Greek population, who had been under the “cosh” of harsh austerity for a number of years, that frankly did not work.



The Germans who rule the Eurozone said austerity should have worked so that’s it…it should have. The fact it did not for whatever reason or reasons is totally irrelevant to the German mindset. Here is a trust issue where the periphery don’t believe or trust the “German” approach. So much for a Union!



Over the past month Alexis Tsipras (Prime Minister) and Yanis Varoufakis (Finance Minister) have both been backwards and forwards to meetings in Athens, Brussels, Berlin and Frankfurt trying to re-negotiate the best deal that they can as they simply cannot pay for the current deal (Bailout 2), they require ACT III in the Greek tragedy (Bailout 3).



The fact that these meetings have produced nothing by way of a settlement or agreement is in the eyes of the Greeks, just negotiation up to and beyond a deadline. This is totally foolish and completely crazy as far as the Germans are concerned. Where is the trust here?



It is widely published that the Greek government will run out of cash in April, I have read that it will be somewhere from the 9th to the 20th of April as dates.



In the interim, uncertainty rules, there are rumours about a “grexit”, there are rumours about capital controls being instigated to stop a “run on the banks”, and there are rumours that the printing presses are churning out the new Drachma notes ready for a launch.



At the same time we read that the Greek long awaited list of economic overhauls to satisfy the Greek creditors namely the Eurogroup, ECB and IMF will be with the Eurogroup tomorrow, Monday 30th March 2015 at the very latest.



Greece is in a corner





However, the Greek officials know that a “grexit” would really harm the single currency. If a member country left the ‘union” and was able to revalue with its own currency to get itself back on its feet by moving in the right direction with a little inflation to achieve growth, and was debt reduction free from the shackles of Germany and the ECB, it could prompt more countries like Portugal, Italy and Spain to think about a move away from the single currency too. If it is not the governments that are in power at the moment then it would be the opposition parties whether they are far left or far right that would jump on the bandwagon. There could be a groundswell of public opinion that is anti-European.



In addition, the French and German’s have the most to lose if there is a “grexit”, as they have most money invested in Greece if it defaulted, which, a “grexit” would include.



Not much of a union after such a long time… no trust between partners.



There are faults on both sides and there is NO trust at all. This is what you get from an ill-conceived alleged union that quite frankly has never acted as a union in its history.



As I said last week and very little has fundamentally changed: -



Austerity did not work; it is still not working and refinancing the Greek debt is just avoiding a default. No matter what is done, the Eurogroup policy on Greece, with or without the IMF (International Monetary Fund) hooked into the deal along with the ECB to form the Trioka to make it look like a wider base of support and aid was going to fail before it even started.



Greece needs debt relief.



The Eurogroup needs to suck it up and provide a “Cash Back” deal to Portugal, Ireland, Cyprus etc. in fact, any country that has effectively had a bailout of one sort or another from the Eurogroup since the 2008-9 crash.



It is so straightforward – if they do nothing they risk another financial crash, another run on the banks, negative growth Deflation… this list can go on for pages.



Suck it up….



Austerity was not the way. It has not worked, and for Germany to continue down this road with the same old same old is complete and utter bollo**s. There are 19 countries using the single currency, 19 vastly different cultures that approach all aspects of life and business from a different perspective. One size does not fit all.







These are high stakes. It has taken Mario Draghi at the ECB years to create some stability. This is the ultimate risk. The credibility of the German approach, I would say stubborn approach. They appear totally intransigent to an alternative.



The “union” is not at risk because there never was one from the perspective of a united front. However, the “union” is at risk if Greece exits and it is seen to be a really positive move for Greece moving forward. The fear would then be that other member countries of the single currency would also consider an exit.



This is not over… tomorrow is a big day and I think it will all end in tears very soon.

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EUR/USD: sería una señal de fortaleza la superación de la resistencia de los 1,1040

Buen día;



A finales de la semana pasada pudimos ver un ataque fallido del EUR/USD a la resistencia de los 1,1040. Estaremos muy atentos a un cierre por encima de este nivel de precios ya que nos haría pensar en una extensión de las ganancias hasta el nivel de los 1,15. Sólo la superación de este nivel de resistencia nos invitaría a ver una recuperación mayor de su serie de precios. Por debajo vigilaremos su comportamiento en los 1,0461 ya que si los abandonara podríamos ver unos descensos hasta la paridad.



Buen Trading.

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